MORI Political Monitor July 2005
Satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister rose to the highest levels for two and half years following the London bombings on 7th July. MORI's monthly Political Monitor for the Financial Times, conducted between 14 and 18 July, shows that 44% of the public are satisfied with Mr Blair, up from 39% in June (and up from 33% at the start of the year). The proportion of the public dissatisfied with the Prime Minister is at 47% this month, down from 52% in June (and 57% in January 2005).
Satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister rose to the highest levels for two and half years following the London bombings on 7th July. MORI's monthly Political Monitor for the Financial Times, conducted between 14 and 18 July, shows that 44% of the public are satisfied with Mr Blair, up from 39% in June (and up from 33% at the start of the year). The proportion of the public dissatisfied with the Prime Minister is at 47% this month, down from 52% in June (and 57% in January 2005).
The biggest shift in public attitudes over the month has been the massive rise in concern about terrorism, defence and foreign affairs. In MORI's July survey 40% of the public spontaneously said defence, foreign affairs or terrorism was the single most important issue facing the country. In June, just 6% of people said the same.
Topline Results
- MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,044 adults aged 18+ at 200 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 14-18 July 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,227)
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 28 |
| Labour | 41 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 25 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| 160 | |
| Lab lead (177%) | +13 |
| 160 | |
| Would not vote | 1 |
| Undecided | 5 |
| Refused | 2 |
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (2,044)
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 26 |
| Labour | 43 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 25 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| 160 | |
| Lab lead (177%) | +17 |
| 160 | |
| Would not vote | 11 |
| Undecided | 7 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,058 British adults 18+
| 160 | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | % | % | % | 177% |
| Government (Q3) | 37 | 51 | 12 | -14 |
| Blair (Q4) | 44 | 47 | 9 | -3 |
| Howard (Q5) | 25 | 48 | 28 | -23 |
| Kennedy (Q6) | 42 | 29 | 28 | +13 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,058 British adults 18+
| 160 | Q7 | Q7/8 |
|---|---|---|
| 160 | % | % |
| Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 40 | 58 |
| Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 17 | 32 |
| National Health Service/Hospitals | 6 | 29 |
| Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 8 | 25 |
| Education/schools | 4 | 20 |
| Economy/economic situation | 4 | 10 |
| Pensions/social security | 2 | 8 |
| Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 2 | 8 |
| Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution | 2 | 7 |
| Pollution/environment | 2 | 7 |
| Poverty/inequality | 2 | 7 |
| Taxation | 2 | 6 |
| Housing | 1 | 5 |
| Morality/individual behaviour | 1 | 5 |
| Transport/public transport | * | 5 |
| Drug abuse | 1 | 3 |
| Public services in general | 1 | 2 |
| Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 2 |
| Petrol prices/fuel | * | 2 |
| Local government/council tax | 0 | 2 |
| Countryside/rural life | * | 1 |
| Inflation/prices | * | 1 |
| Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | * | 1 |
| Tsunami/ South East Asia | * | 1 |
| Animal welfare | * | * |
| Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease | 0 | * |
| Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | 0 | * |
| GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | 0 | * |
| Northern Ireland | 0 | * |
| Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | 0 | * |
| Privatisation | 0 | * |
| Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | 0 | * |
| AIDS | 0 | 0 |
| Trade unions/strikes | 0 | 0 |
| 160 | ||
| Other | 1 | 6 |
| Don't know | 4 | 3 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,058 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Improve | 14 |
| Stay the same | 47 |
| Get worse | 32 |
| Don't know | 6 |
| MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -18 |
Q9 was sponsored by The Observer
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 2,044 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| 10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 59 |
| 9 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 |
| 7 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 9 |
| Don't know | 1 |
| Refused | 0 |
More insights about Public Sector
