MORI Political Monitor June - Topline Results

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,107 adults aged 18+ at 203 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 24-29 June 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,107 adults aged 18+ at 203 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 24-29 June 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All absolutely certain to vote (1,127)

  %
Conservative 31
Labour 34
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 19
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 4
UK Independence Party 6
Other 2
 
Lab lead (177%) +3
 
Would not vote 1
Undecided 5
Refused 2
The headline figure is based on all respondents who say they are certain to vote (52%). Among all those naming a party, the share of vote is as follows: Conservative (28%), Labour (37%), Liberal Democrats (20%), Scottish/Welsh Nationalist (3%), Green Party (4%), UK Independence Party (6%) and Other (3%).

Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job?

Base: Base: 1,102 British adults 18+

  Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
  % % % %
Government 27 62 11 -35
Blair 30 61 9 -31
Howard 26 38 36 -12
Kennedy 36 28 36 +8

Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today?Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today?

Base: 1,102 British adults 18+

  Q7 Q7/8
  % %
National Health Service/Hospitals 15 44
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism 19 35
Race relations/immigration/immigrants 14 28
Education/schools 5 28
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism 7 20
Common Market/EU/Europe/Single European Currency 11 16
Pensions/social security 2 10
Economy/economic situation 3 7
Housing 1 7
Transport/public transport 1 7
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry 3 6
Drug abuse 1 5
Taxation 1 5
Morality/individual behaviour 2 4
Poverty/inequality 1 4
Pollution/environment 1 3
Public services in general 1 3
Petrol prices/fuel * 3
Inflation/prices * 2
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament 1 1
Countryside/rural life * 1
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods * 1
Local government/council tax * 1
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages 0 1
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound 0 1
AIDS * *
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform * *
Trade unions/strikes * *
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis 0 *
Animal welfare 0 0
Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease 0 0
Northern Ireland 0 0
Privatisation 0 0
 
Other 4 14
Don't know 6 5

Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?

Base: 1,102 British adults 18+

  %
Improve 13
Stay the same 46
Get worse 35
Don't know 7
 
MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] -22

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?

Base: 2,107 British adults 18+

  %
10 - absolutely certain to vote 52
9 6
8 8
7 5
6 2
5 7
4 2
3 2
2 2
1 - absolutely certain not to vote 11
Don't know 2
Refused *

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