MORI Political Monitor December
MORI's December Political Monitor gives the Liberal Democrats their highest share of the vote all year among those who say they are absolutely certain to vote in an immediate General Election, as measured by MORI's monthly survey. Their vote share, on 26%, is up by 3 points from November, and up eight points from the year's low back in May. Labour remain unchanged, on 35%, and the Conservatives are down 1 point, on 30%, since our November survey. If these figures were replicated at a General Election, and assuming a national uniform swing, we would expect a Labour majority of over 100 seats, with the Liberal Democrats still in third place but with as many as 75 MPs in total.