Saga Quarterly Political Polling

Pre-Budget Statement Poll - Final Weighted Results

Pre-Budget Statement Poll - Final Weighted Results

  • MORI interviewed 1,004 Saga Magazine readers by telephone (600 subscribers, 404 non-subscribers)
  • Interviews were conducted by telephone on 3-7 November 2000
  • Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
  • Data are weighted to known readership profile.
  • An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
  • Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of Saga Magazine

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Conservative 57%
Labour 24%
Liberal Democrats 16%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1%
Green Party 1%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party *%
Other 2%

Would not vote 5%
Undecided 9%
Refused 7%

Q3 How likely are you to get along to vote at the next General Election ...?

Certain to vote 69%
Very likely to vote 18%
Quite likely to vote 7%
Not very likely to vote 2%
Certain not to vote 3%
Don't know 1%

Q4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country? Q5 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister? Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Hague is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party? Q7 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Kennedy is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?

160 Satisfied Dissatisfied Don't know Index
160 % % % 177
Government 25 67 8 -42
Blair 31 62 6 -31
Hague 35 50 15 -15
Kennedy 42 21 38 21

Q8 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? Q9 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today?

160 Q7 Q7/Q8
160 % %
National Health Service/Hospitals 15 37
Common Market/EU/Europe/Single European Currency 17 30
Pensions/welfare security 8 30
Education/schools 5 25
Petrol prices/fuel 9 23
Economy/economic situation 7 14
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism 5 14
Floods 5 13
Transport/public transport 3 13
Taxation 3 9
Pollution/environment 3 8
Race relations/immigration/immigrants 2 5
Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease 1 4
Countryside/rural life 1 4
Defence/Foreign affairs 1 4
Drug abuse 1 4
Local government/council tax 1 4
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry 1 4
Morality/individual behaviour 1 3
Housing * 3
Poverty/inequality 1 2
Inflation/prices * 2
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages * 2
Northern Ireland * 2
AIDS 0 1
GM/Genetically modified foods 0 1
Privatisation 0 1
Animal Welfare * 1
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound * 1
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution/Constitutional reform * 1
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament 0 *
Trade Unions/strikes 0 *

Other 2 3
Don't know 5 10

Q10 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?

Improve 25%
Stay the same 39%
Get worse 26%
Don't know 9%

Q11 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy?

Blair 31%
Hague 31%
Kennedy 10%
None of these 15%
Don't know 12%

Q12 Looking ahead to the General Election, which, if any, of the following issues that I read out do you think will be very important to you in helping you to decide which party to vote for?

Health care 74%
Pensions 64%
Law and order 62%
The Economy 52%
Education 48%
Transport 45%
Other 3%
Don't know 1%

Q13 I am going to read out the same list again, and for each issue I would like you to tell me which party you think has the best policy?

160 Con Lab Lib Dem Other None Don't know
160 % % % % % %
Health care 30 32 7 * 11 20
Education 32 31 11 * 6 20
Law and order 41 21 6 * 11 21
Pensions 33 27 8 * 12 21
The Economy 38 30 5 * 6 20
Transport 27 20 8 * 18 27

Q14 A new political party called the Grey Party has been launched that focuses solely on issues that affect people aged over 50. How likely or unlikely would you be to support a party that focuses solely on issues affecting people aged over 50?

Certain to 4%
Very likely 8%
Fairly likely 17%
Fairly unlikely 14%
Very unlikely 26%
Certain not 25%
Don't know 7%

Budget Questions

QB1 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Gordon Brown is doing his job as Chancellor of the Exchequer?

Satisfied 43%
Dissatisfied 52%
Don't know 6%

QB2 On balance, do you agree or disagree with the statement that "in the long term, this Government's policies will improve the state of Britain's economy"?

Agree 40%
Disagree 51%
Don't know 9%

QB3 Since it was elected in May 1997, do you think that the Government has done a good job or a bad job at ...

... managing the economy?
Good job 57%
Bad job 33%
Don't know 11%
160
... handling taxation and public expenditure?
Good job 33%
Bad job 58%
Don't know 9%
160
... keeping unemployment down?
Good job 75%
Bad job 15%
Don't know 10%

Q15 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so?

Conservative 42%
Labour 25%
Liberal Democrat 16%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1%
Referendum Party 1%
Green *%
Other 2%
160
Did not vote 7%
Can't remember 3%
Refused 3%

Q16 Which party did you vote for at the previous General Election in April 1992? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so?

Conservative 53%
Labour 16%
Liberal Democrat 16%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 1%
Green 0%
Other 1%
160
Did not vote 3%
Can't remember 7%
Refused 3%

Q17 If the Conservatives were to lose the next general election, who do you think should lead the Conservative Party after the election ...?

William Hague 25%
Anne Widdecombe 14%
Michael Portillo 22%
Someone else/Other
... Kenneth Clarke 2%
... John Redwood 1%
... Other 4%
Don't know/None 32%

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