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More Bad News For The Tories
More bad news for the Conservatives in the latest polls. NOP is the only major polling company reported in papers today — as both the Observer (ICM) and the Sunday Telegraph (MORI) take a break in mid-campaign from spending the money to find out that the Labour Party is still flat-lining in the polls.
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General Election 2001 - Election Digest
Voting Intention & John Prescott. The NOP/Sunday Times poll shows Labour on 49% (unchanged since last week) ...
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Parents Say Staff Are Key To Quality Childcare But Poorly Paid
Daycare Trust launches MORI survey findings at start of National Childcare Week 2001.
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Watch The Share; Watch The Fieldwork Dates; Watch The Brand Name And Other Watchwords
Commentators and pundits, never mind the politicians and the public, continue to be misled by their focus on the gap or lead, and not the share of the vote for each party. I'd go further than that, and say watch the Tory share, for the way ICM have been asking the voting intention question, 'prompting' the respondent with the names of the parties, has led to a higher level of support for the Lib Dems than MORI, NOP and Gallup. Now that Gallup have changed their methodology to more closely approximate their American practice of reporting voting intention on those they think will be 'certain' or 'very likely' to vote, and focusing on the vote in the constituency, is likely to do the same.
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General Election 2001 : MPs — Good or Bad
The omens for turnout at the election remain poor. The figures from our latest poll for the Times, put into context by the corresponding figures from 1997, are in the table below.
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General Election 2001 : Is Labour's Lead Soft?
The Conservatives are continuing to say that, despite what the polls say, they can still win this election. There are, they argue, still enough undecided electors whose votes they can swing; Labour's vote is big but soft.
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General Election 2001 - Election Digest
Economist Poll. The MORI poll for the Economist puts Labour on 54%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrats on 14%.
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Tory 'Meltdown'?
Three weeks today the country will go to the polling booths and elect the next government. Never before has the outcome seemed so certain. So far nine polls with fieldwork taken after the announcement of the date of the general election have been published. All nine have projected seat calculations showing an increase in the Labour majority in the House of Commons over all other parties.
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General Election 2001 : Constituency Polls — How Not To Do It
Today's Daily Record carries polling results from six marginal seats in Scotland, and compares the results with those that it published in the same six marginal seats last week; both polls were conducted by Scottish Opinion. All very well, except that the first poll interviewed only 744 respondents in total (an average of 124 per constituency), and today's interviewed 911 (average about 152).