Times 2001 Campaign Polls Wave 5
MORI's final "predictive" poll at the 2001 election, published on polling day
MORI's final "predictive" poll involved face-to-face, in-home, CAPI (Computer Assisted Personal Interviewing) of 1,967 British adults who are registered to vote, on Tuesday 5 June 2001. In addition, MORI reinterviewed 272 people on Wednesday by telephone and used their changed voting intentions, plus the 1997 recall of the 2% who refused to say how they were going to vote at the initial interview, to calculate their reported voting intention figures.
As for last week's poll for The Times, and as in 1997, MORI showed the names and party affiliations of those candidates standing in each constituency to respondents. Data were weighted to reflect the national population profile. Otherwise there was no change in MORI's methodology.
Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on Thursday? [If undecided or refused at Q1] Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| Conservative |  30% |
| Labour |  45% |
| Liberal Democrats |  18% |
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist |  % |
| Green Party |  % |
| Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party |  % |
| Other |  7% |
| Would not vote | 7% |
| Undecided | 7% |
| Refused | 2% |
Q3 Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election on Thursday? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| % | |
| Certain to vote | 63 |
| Very likely to vote | 13 |
| Quite likely to vote | 11 |
| Not very likely to vote | 4 |
| Certain not to vote | 8 |
| Don't know | 1 |
Q4 And if it rained all day on Thursday, the day of the General Election, how likely would you be to get along to vote? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| % | |
| Certain to vote | 62 |
| Very likely to vote | 13 |
| Quite likely to vote | 10 |
| Not very likely to vote | 5 |
| Certain not to vote | 9 |
| Don't know | 1 |
Q5 Have you definitely decided to vote for the ….. party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All respondents 18+ naming a party
| All | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | |
| % | % | % | % | |
| Definitely decided | 77 | 81 | 80 | 66 |
| May change mind | 21 | 17 | 18 | 31 |
| Don't know | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Q6 This question will be published shortly
Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Kennedy? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| % | |
| Blair | 51 |
| Hague | 14 |
| Kennedy | 14 |
| Don't know | 21 |
Q8 At this General Election, which, if any of these issues do you think will be very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| % | |
| Animal welfare | 11 |
| Asylum seekers / immigration | 27 |
| Constitution / devolution | 8 |
| Defence | 11 |
| Education | 62 |
| Europe | 26 |
| Health care | 73 |
| Housing | 21 |
| Law & Order | 50 |
| Managing the economy | 31 |
| Northern Ireland | 7 |
| Pensions | 40 |
| Protecting the natural environment | 26 |
| Public transport | 31 |
| Taxation | 37 |
| Trade Unions | 6 |
| Unemployment | 30 |
| Other | 3 |
| None of these | 0 |
| Don't know | 3 |
Q9 How important is it to you personally who wins the General Election?
| % | |
| Very important | 32 |
| Fairly important | 34 |
| Not very important | 25 |
| Not at all important | 8 |
| No opinion | 2 |
Q10 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or what?
| % | |
| Conservative | 25 |
| Labour | 41 |
| Liberal Democrat | 10 |
| Scot/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| Don't know | 6 |
| None of these | 12 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q11 Which party did you vote for at the last General Election, in May 1997? If you are not sure, or did not vote, please say so. Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| Conservative | 23% |
| Labour | 43% |
| Liberal Democrats | 10% |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2% |
| Referendum Party | 1% |
| Green Party | *% |
| Other | *% |
| Did not vote | 11% |
| Too young | 5% |
| Can't remember | 3% |
| Refused | 2% |
Q12 As far as you know, are you currently registered to vote? IF YES And are you registered to vote in this constituency, or are you registered to vote somewhere else? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| % | |
| Yes, registered to vote in this constituency | 98 |
| Yes, registered to vote somewhere else | 2 |
| No, not registered to vote | n/a |
| Don't know | n/a |
Q13 Have you voted postally or instructed a proxy to vote for you in the General Election? Base: All respondents 18+ [1,967]
| % | |
| Yes, have voted postally | 4 |
| Yes, have instructed a proxy | * |
| No, neither | 96 |
| Don't know | * |
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