Times Election Poll 1992, Week 1

Political Attitudes in Great Britain: Data on likelihood to vote, voting intention, interest in the campaign and important issues, taken at the outset of the 1992 election campaign.

13 March 1992

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,054 adults aged 18+ at 53 constituency sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face, in street, on 11-12 March 1992, and the results published in The Times on 13 March 1992. Data were weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on April 9? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

	%
Conservative	38
Labour	41
Liberal Democrats	16
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	3
Green Party	12
Other	*
(Excludes 14% would not vote, undecided or refused)

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Certain not to vote	8	3	6	3
Not very likely to vote	4	2	2	3
Quite likely to vote	8	9	7	8
Very likely to vote	11	12	11	16
Certain to vote	69	74	74	69
Don't know	1	1	0	2

Q4 How strongly do you support the... PARTY NAMED IN Q1 or Q2. Do you support them very strongly, fairly strongly, not very strongly or not strongly at all? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very strongly	33	31	37	24
Fairly strongly	43	47	43	36
Not very strongly	18	17	17	26
Not strongly at all	4	4	2	10
Don't know/no answer	1	*	1	3

Q5 Which of the following comes closest to your reasons for supporting... PARTY NAMED IN Q1 or Q2? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
It is the party that most represents your views	78	81	82	63
The party you most support has little chance of winning in this constituency so you will vote for the ... party to try and keep another party out	17	14	13	31
No opinion	5	4	5	6

Long term trends on this question

Q6 From this card, can you tell me how interested you are in the general election campaign?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very interested	25	27	28	27
Fairly interested	39	44	38	46
Not particularly interested	22	20	24	14
Not interested at all	13	7	8	13
No opinion	1	1	2	0

Q7 Which two or three issues will be most important to you in helping you to decide which party to vote for in the general election? UNPROMPTED ANSWERS

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
AIDS	1	*	1	1
Defence	6	9	3	5
Disarmament	1	1	2	1
Drugs	2	2	1	2
Education	33	30	37	31
EC/Common Market	2	4	1	2
Foreign policy generally	1	2	*	1
Health care/NHS	46	42	54	54
Housing	10	7	11	15
Immigration	1	2	0	1
Inflation/prices	7	10	7	3
Interest rates	4	6	4	6
Law & order	7	8	5	6
Leisure amenities/facilities	*	0	*	0
Managing the economy	11	17	7	8
Northern Ireland	*	1	1	0
Nuclear power	*	*	1	0
Nuclear weapons	*	*	1	0
Replacing the poll tax/Council Tax	8	4	13	7
Pollution/the environment	5	4	3	7
Public transport	2	1	2	0
Taxation/tax cuts	10	18	6	7
Trade unions	*	*	*	0
The City/financial scandals	0	0	0	0
Unemployment/jobs	27	14	37	28
Voting system/constitutional reform/devolution	2	1	1	3
Other	25	26	23	29
Don't know	9	9	7	4

Q8 And how important is it to you personally who wins the General Election?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very important	36	42	41	36
Fairly important	34	37	37	38
Not particularly important	21	15	19	19
Not at all important	8	4	3	6
No opinion	1	1	*	1

Q9 How likely do you think it is that one party will win a clear majority over all other parties in the House of Commons?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very likely	13	16	12	7
Fairly likely	29	35	31	21
Not very likely	41	41	39	55
Not at all likely	10	7	9	14
No opinion	7	1	9	3

Q10a From this card, what do you think will be the outcome of the forthcoming General Election? Q10b And what would you personally prefer to be the outcome?

	Will be	Would prefer
	%	%
An overall majority of Conservative MPs	30	30
An overall majority of Labour MPs	17	34
No overall majority and the Liberal Democrats sharing power with the Conservative Party	20	11
No overall majority and the Liberal Democrats sharing power with the Conservative Party	19	10
Other	2	5
Don't know	1	10

Q11 Which political party do you think has the best team of leaders to deal with the country's problems? Q12 And which political party do you think has the best policies for the country as a whole? Q13 And which political party do you think is the most clear and united about what its policies should be?

	Best team of leaders	Best policies	Most clear and united
	%	%	%
Conservative	40	31	35
Labour	30	33	28
Liberal Democrats	8	13	13
Other	1	2	1
None	10	7	9
Don't know	11	14	13

Q14 I'm going to read out a list of problems facing Britain today and for each one I would like you to tell me whether the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party has the best policy on each problem.

		Con	Lab	LD	Other	None/ don't know
Defence	%	47	22	6	1	24
Education	%	26	42	10	1	22
Health care	%	23	50	8	1	19
Unemployment	%	18	46	8	1	27
Law & Order	%	40	24	6	1	30
Managing the economy	%	34	28	9	1	28
Replacing the poll tax	%	23	39	11	1	26
Taxation	%	39	31	8	1	21

Q15 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Major, Mr Kinnock or Mr Ashdown?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Major	40	84	6	21
Kinnock	27	3	64	6
Ashdown	22	8	18	69
Don't know	11	5	11	3

Q16 Do you agree or disagree with the statement "It's time for a change"?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Agree	68	30	94	91
Disagree	26	65	2	7
Neither/no opinion	6	5	4	2

Q If you thought that the Liberal Democrats were likely to win in this constituency, then how would you vote in the General Election on April 9? (If undecided or refused) Q Which party would you be most inclined to vote for?

	%
Conservative	29
Labour	33
Liberal Democrats	35
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	2
Green Party	1
Other	*
(Excludes 11% would not vote, undecided or refused)

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