Times Election Poll 1992, Week 2

Data on likelihood to vote, voting intention, interest in the campaign and important issues, early in the 1992 election campaign.

18 March 1992

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,099 adults aged 18+ at 54 constituency sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face, in street, on 16 March 1992, and the results published in The Times on 18 March 1992. Data were weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on April 9? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

	%
Conservative	38
Labour	43
Liberal Democrats	16
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	2
Green Party	1
Other	*
(Excludes 16% would not vote, undecided or refused)

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Certain not to vote	7	2	3	1
Not very likely to vote	5	2	3	5
Quite likely to vote	8	8	8	6
Very likely to vote	12	11	13	17
Certain to vote	67	77	73	70
Don't know	1	1	*	2

Q4 How strongly do you support the... PARTY NAMED IN Q1 or Q2. Do you support them very strongly, fairly strongly, not very strongly or not strongly at all? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very strongly	31	34	35	11
Fairly strongly	44	42	43	52
Not very strongly	18	18	15	26
Not strongly at all	6	5	6	10
Don't know/no answer	1	2	1	1

Q5 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same or get worse over the next 12 months?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Improve	36	55	32	29
Stay the same	32	26	35	37
Get worse	21	9	23	22
Don't know	11	9	10	12

Q6 From this card, can you tell me how interested you are in the general election campaign?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very interested	21	24	26	19
Fairly interested	38	41	42	41
Not particularly interested	24	24	21	27
Not interested at all	16	11	11	12
No opinion	1	1	1	1

Q7 Which two or three issues will be most important to you in helping you to decide which party to vote for in the general election? UNPROMPTED ANSWERS

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
AIDS	1	1	1	1
Defence	3	6	3	1
Disarmament	1	1	1	0
Drugs	1	1	1	2
Education	29	29	31	36
EC/Common Market	2	3	3	3
Foreign policy generally	1	1	1	1
Health care/NHS	50	37	58	44
Housing	9	6	12	10
Immigration	1	1	1	0
Inflation/prices	8	8	7	11
Interest rates	6	10	6	6
Law & order	6	9	4	9
Leisure amenities/facilities	*	1	0	0
Managing the economy	15	21	12	17
Northern Ireland	*	*	0	0
Nuclear power	*	*	1	1
Nuclear weapons	1	1	*	0
Replacing the poll tax/Council Tax	7	4	9	9
Pollution/the environment	4	4	3	5
Public transport	1	1	2	2
Taxation/tax cuts	13	22	8	10
Trade unions	*	1	*	0
The City/financial scandals	*	*	0	1
Unemployment/jobs	29	21	37	33
Voting system/constitutional reform/devolution	2	1	*	6
Other	26	27	26	29
Don't know	11	10	7	2

Q8 How likely do you think it is that one party will win a clear majority over all other parties in the House of Commons?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Very likely	9	10	11	5
Fairly likely	30	38	30	19
Not very likely	40	38	37	51
Not at all likely	13	7	14	21
No opinion	8	7	8	4

Q9a From this card, what do you think will be the outcome of the forthcoming General Election? Q9b And what would you personally prefer to be the outcome?

	Will be	Would prefer
	%	%
An overall majority of Conservative MPs	28	31
An overall majority of Labour MPs	19	34
No overall majority and the Liberal Democrats sharing power with the Conservative Party	18	9
No overall majority and the Liberal Democrats sharing power with the Conservative Party	20	8
Other	3	7
Don't know	12	11

Q10 Which political party do you think has the best team of leaders to deal with the country's problems? Q11 And which political party do you think has the best policies for the country as a whole? Q12 And which political party do you think is the most clear and united about what its policies should be?

	Best team of leaders	Best policies	Most clear and united
	%	%	%
Conservative	40	32	36
Labour	30	34	29
Liberal Democrats	9	12	14
Other	1	1	1
None	11	6	9
Don't know	9	15	11

Q14 I'm going to read out a list of problems facing Britain today and for each one I would like you to tell me whether the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party has the best policy on each problem.

		Con	Lab	LD	Other	None/ don't know
Defence	%	49	21	6	1	23
Education	%	26	42	11	*	21
Health care	%	24	51	8	*	17
Unemployment	%	20	46	7	1	26
Law & Order	%	40	24	5	*	31
Managing the economy	%	36	30	7	1	24
Replacing the poll tax	%	24	41	10	1	25
Taxation	%	39	33	10	1	17

Q14 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Major, Mr Kinnock or Mr Ashdown?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Major	42	88	8	24
Kinnock	28	1	67	6
Ashdown	20	7	16	66
Don't know	11	3	9	3

Q15 Do you agree or disagree with the statement "It's time for a change"?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Agree	69	32	95	86
Disagree	27	62	4	10
Neither/no opinion	4	6	1	4

Q16 Do you think the Labour Party should or should not put the 20p income tax band back up to 25p?

	All	Con	Lab	LD
	%	%	%	%
Should	31	9	52	38
Should not	57	83	37	49
Don't know	12	8	11	12

Q17 Has the Labour Party's pledge to put the 20p income tax band back up to 25p affected your voting intention or not?

	%
Yes, has affected voting intention	6
No, has not affected voting intention	89
Don't know	5

Q18 (To those saying "yes" at Q17) How has it affected your voting intention? Base: All who say their voting intention had been affected (64)

	%
Switch to Conservative	31
Switch to Labour	21
Switch to Liberal Democrat	20
Switch to other party	11
Other	22

Q19 If you thought that the Liberal Democrats were likely to win in this constituency, then how would you vote in the General Election on April 9? Q20 (If undecided or refused at Q19) Which party would you be most inclined to vote for?

	%
Conservative	29
Labour	32
Liberal Democrats	35
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	2
Green Party	1
Other	*
(Excludes 11% would not vote, undecided or refused)

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