Times Election Poll - Week 4

MORI's poll for The Times conducted a little over a week before election day, including the questions tracked through the campaign and an additional question on who should replace John Major as Conservative leader

MORI interviewed 1,133 adults aged 18+ at 85 enumeration district sampling points throughout Great Britain. All interviews were conducted face-to-face in-home on 22nd April 1997, and the results published in The Times on 24th April 1997. Data were weighted to match population profile. An asterisk (*) denotes a figure between zero and 0.5%. Base: All respondents, unless stated

Q1 How do you intend to vote at the General Election on May 1? [If undecided or refused at Q1] Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: 1,984

Conservative 27%
Labour 48%
Liberal Democrats 17%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 3%
Green Party 1%
Referendum Party 3%
Other 1%

Would not vote 6%
Undecided 9%
Refused 4%

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election?

  %
Certain to vote 68
Very likely to vote 12
Quite likely to vote 10
Not very likely to vote 4
Certain not to vote 5
Don't know 1

Q4 How strongly do you support the (Party named at Q1 or Q2)? Do you support them... Base: All naming party (917)

  %
Very strongly 31
Fairly strongly 44
Not very strongly 19
Not strongly at all 4
Don't know / no answer 2

Q5 Have you definitely decided to vote for the (Party named at Q1 or Q2) or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All naming party (917)

  %
Definitely decided 70
May change mind 26
Don't know 4

Q6 If you do change your mind about voting for the (Party named at Q1 or Q2), which party would you vote for instead? Base: All who may change mind (229)

  %
Conservative 16
Labour 21
Lib Dem 19
Scot / Welsh Nationalist 3
Green Party 3
Referendum Party 5
Other 1
None of them / would not vote 5
Don't know 29

Q7 Which political party do you think has the best team of leaders to deal with the country's problems?

  %
Conservative 21
Labour 34
Lib Dem 8
Other 1
None 16
Don't know 19

Q8 And which political party do you think has the best policies for the country as a whole?

  %
Conservative 20
Labour 36
Lib Dem 13
Other 2
None 8
Don't know 20

Q9 And which political party do you think is the most clear and united about what its policies should be?

  %
Conservative 11
Labour 34
Lib Dem 22
Other 3
None 14
Don't know 17

Q10 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Major, Mr Blair or Mr Ashdown?

  %
Major 26
Blair 38
Ashdown 19
Don't know 17

Q11 Which political party, if any, do you think would be most likely to introduce policies that improve your standard of living?

  %
The Government has built strong foundations for Britain's economic recovery, and they deserve to win the election 20
The Government has built strong foundations for Britain's economic recovery, but at this election it is time for change 28
The Government has failed to build a strong economy, but they deserve to win the election 5
The Government has failed to build a strong economy. At this election it is time for change 38
None of these 4
Don't know 6

Q12 If the Conservatives lose the General Election and John Major stands down as party leader, which one of these politicians would you like to see lead the Conservative Party?

  %
Michael Heseltine 20
Kenneth Clarke 15
John Redwood 7
Michael Portillo 5
Gillian Shephard 5
Stephen Dorrell 2
Malcolm Rifkind 2
William Hague 1
Michael Howard 1
Ian Lang 1
Other 1
None of these 17
Don't know 22

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