Political Monitor

Contrary to reports in the Observer and Guardian, our polls show no collapse in Conservative support among women between May 2010 and September 2011

Half of the public think the phone hacking scandal will lead to major changes in public life, but large minority think it will blow over with no significant impact.

Support for cuts to public services falls as the impact of spending cuts begins to be felt.
There is widespread concern about the effects of cuts in the next 12 months as pessimism about the economy increases to levels of concern not seen since the start of 2009

Confidence in Britain's economic prospects falls away, as support for the government decreases.
However, Cameron remains liked and the public have not yet made up their minds about Ed Miliband

Our September Political Monitor shows Labour level with the Conservatives on 37% of the vote share among those absolutely certain to vote. For the first time since the election the government now has a negative satisfaction rating.

Our July Political Monitor shows that, among those who are absolutely certain to vote, 40% say they would vote Conservative, 38% Labour and 14% Liberal Democrat.

Ipsos's Final Election Poll for the Evening Standard indicates that the UK may be on course for a hung parliament, with the Conservatives the largest party but short of an overall majority.

The last of our polls in key marginal constituencies, Ipsos's new poll for Reuters points suggests that the Conservatives are inching towards a majority with a 7% swing from 2005 in these key battleground constituencies.

Among those who are "absolutely certain to vote", 37% say they would vote Conservative, 32% Labour and 19% Liberal Democrat, our February Political Monitor shows.