New polling data from Ipsos in the UK, conducted 25–30 June 2026, reveals a shifting political landscape as Prime Minister Keir Starmer prepares to step down.
Satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister rose to the highest levels for two and half years following the London bombings on 7th July. MORI's monthly Political Monitor for the Financial Times, conducted between 14 and 18 July, shows that 44% of the public are satisfied with Mr Blair, up from 39% in June (and up from 33% at the start of the year). The proportion of the public dissatisfied with the Prime Minister is at 47% this month, down from 52% in June (and 57% in January 2005).
Net satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister is at the highest since April 2003. His net satisfaction rating among the public is at -13% (39% satisfied, 53% dissatisfied). Among Labour supporters, net satisfaction is higher than it has been in the last 3 years, in July 2002 (50%). Net satisfaction with Mr Howard as leader of the Conservative Party has followed the opposite pattern: satisfaction with the conservative leader amongst the public peaked as the election neared (-10 net satisfaction in March), but is now back up to -26 net satisfaction, where he was at the end of 2004. Amongst Conservative supporters, these swings are even more pronounced. From a net satisfaction rating of +33 in March this year, support for Mr Howard among Conservative voters has dropped to +2. That is, 42% of Conservative supporters are dissatisfied with Mr Howard as leader of the Conservative party (44% satisfied).
February's Political Monitor, conducted for the Financial Times, shows the highest level of voting intentions for the Conservative Party recorded by MORI for 18 months.
MORI's first election special Political Monitor, conducted exclusively for The Observer in January shows a six-point lead for the Labour Party over the Tories (38% to 32%) with the Liberal Democrats on 22% (down from 26% in December).
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,960 adults aged 18+ at 200 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 15-20 January 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
Among those who say they are certain to vote at the next General Election, Labour's share of the vote has risen four points, from 36% in November to 40% in December. The Conservatives now on 31% are down four points and the Liberal Democrats remain unchanged on 22%.
MORI's latest Political Monitor shows that Michael Howard has failed to increase the Conservatives' voting intention share at an immediate General Election. The poll, conducted between 20-25 November 2003, is the first MORI survey of voting intentions and ratings of the party leaders' performance since Michael Howard was officially named as the new Tory leader.
