FIVE COUNTRY (US,UK,FRANCE, ITALY, GERMANY) RAPID TURNAROUND POLL SHOWS:

Respondents Split (47% versus 46%) on Sending NATO Ground Troops in to Kosovo

FIVE COUNTRY (US,UK,FRANCE, ITALY, GERMANY) RAPID TURNAROUND POLL SHOWS:

Respondents Split (47% versus 46%) on Sending NATO Ground Troops in to Kosovo

Two Thirds (66%) Say NATO's "Done a Good Job of Managing Its Military Campaign Against Yugoslavia"

Nearly half (48%) Say NATO Should Aim to Keep Kosovo a Separate Governed Province of Yugoslavia, One Third (33%) Support the Creation of an Independent State

Eight in Ten (82%) of those polled, Believe Milosevic Should be Removed from Office as Requirement of Settlement and Tried for War Crimes (81%)

These results emerged from an international public opinion survey conducted by the Angus Reid Group on behalf of CNN. This poll involved interviews with a total of 1,683 adults in 5 countries - Italy, Germany, United Kingdom, United States and France. Data collection was carried out from April 22nd through April 25th, 1999.

The target sample size was 300 in each location with the exception of Germany, which has a sample size of 476. The margin of error associated with sample sizes of approximately 300 and 476, assuming a confidence level of 95 percent, are +5.7 and +4.5 percentage points. The total survey sample size of 1,683 has an associated margin of error of +2.4 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty. The complete data set was statistically weighted so that the overall survey results reflect the proportional populations of the countries in the sample. As a result, the American sample is weighted up to 50% of the sample as its population represents 50% of the total population of the countries examined.

The Angus Reid Group is Canada's premier market research and public opinion polling firm with offices across Canada and the United States. The company also publishes, on a quarterly basis, The World Monitor, a digest of public opinion trends and insights gleaned from interviews in upwards of 30 countries.


These results emerged from an international public opinion survey conducted by the Angus Reid Group on behalf of CNN. This poll involved interviews with a total of 1,683 adults in five countries - Italy, Germany, United Kingdom, United States and France. Data collection was carried out from April 22nd through April 25th, 1999. A sample size of 1,683 has an associated margin of error of +2.4 percentage points, nineteen times out of twenty. This margin of error is larger within each of the individual countries in which data was collected. With the exception of Germany (+4.5), the margin of error for each of the countries is approximately +5.7 percentage points. The complete data set was statistically weighted so that the overall survey results reflect the proportional populations of the countries in the sample

The key highlights of this research are as follows:

SUPPORT FOR GROUND TROOPS IN KOSOVO

Respondents Split (47% versus 46%) on Sending NATO Ground Troops in to Kosovo

Of the five countries polled, there is an even split (47% versus 46%) of support and opposition to NATO sending ground troops in to fight against Yugoslav forces if no settlement is reached to end the war in Kosovo.

  • On side with majority support is the U.S. (53% versus 44%), France (54% versus 33%) and the UK (54% versus 30%).
  • Respondents in Germany (63% versus 28%) and Italy (63% versus 33%) are most likely to oppose NATO sending ground troops in to Yugoslavia.
  • Those respondents aged 18 to 34 (52%) are more likely than those in the older age categories (35 to 54, 49% and 55+, 39%) to support NATO in sending ground troops.
  • Men (51%) are more likely than women (43%) to be supportive of a ground troop offensive led by NATO.

RATING NATO's MANAGEMENT OF ITS MILITARY CAMPAIGN

Two Thirds (66%) of Those Polled Say NATO's Done a Good Job of Managing Its Military Campaign Against Yugoslavia

Two thirds (66%) of those polled say NATO has done a good job of managing its military campaign against Yugoslavia. Relatively few say it has done a very good job (10%) compared to those who say it has done a good job (56%). Another quarter (25%) say NATO has done a poor job (19%) or a very poor job (6%) of managing the campaign against Yugoslavia.

  • This finding is relatively consistent across the countries examined with Italy and Germany (both 59%) only slightly less likely than the average (66%) to say NATO has done a good job.
  • The U.S. (71%), on the other hand is most likely to say NATO has done a good job of managing the military campaign against Yugoslavia.
  • Respondents from Italy (34%) are more likely than those from the other four countries - France 26%, the UK 26%, the U.S. 25% and Germany 21% - to say that NATO has done a poor job of managing its campaign in Yugoslavia.
  • Men (31%) are more likely than women (20%) to express discontent with NATO's management of its military campaign.

WHAT SHOULD NATO's GOAL BE IN YUGOSLAVIA?

Nearly half (48%) Say NATO Should Aim to Keep Kosovo a Separate Governed Province of Yugoslavia, While One Third (33%) Support the Creation of an Independent State

Nearly, half (48%) of respondents think NATO's goal should be to simply keep Kosovo a separate governed province of Yugoslavia. Another third (33%) say the aim of NATO's campaign should be to create an independent state of Kosovo. Nineteen percent indicate they don't know what NATO's aim should be.

  • Italy (41%) and France (40%) are slightly more likely than the U.S. (31%), the UK (31%) and Germany (29%) to suggest that NATO should be aiming toward an independent state for Kosovo.
  • The majority of Americans (53%) support NATO aiming to simply keep Kosovo a separate governed province in Yugoslavia - compared to Italy (47%), Germany (45%), France (42%) and the UK (37%).
  • Younger respondents aged 18 to 34 (38%) are more likely than those in other age groupings (35 to 54, 32%; 55+, 28%) to argue that NATO's goal should be to set up an independent state in Kosovo.

SHOULD MILOSEVIC BE REMOVED FROM OFFICE?

Eight in Ten (82%) of those polled, Believe Milosevic Should be Removed from Office as A Requirement for Settlement of the War Over Kosovo

Overall, eight in ten (82%) of those polled in the five countries believe Milosevic should be removed from office as a requirement of a settling of the Kosovo war. Thirteen percent say he should not be removed from office while 5% were unable to decide whether this should be part of a settlement between NATO and Yugoslavian forces.

  • Support for the removal of Milosevic is consistently high in each of the countries polled - Germany (86%), UK (83%), U.S. (82%), Italy (78%) and France (77%).
  • In general there is strong support for Milosevic to be removed from office; however, women (85%) are slightly more likely than men (78%) to call for his removal.

SHOULD MILOSEVIC BE CHARGED AND TRIED AS A WAR CRIMINAL?

Eight in Ten (81%) Believe President Milosevic Should be Charged and Tried as a War Criminal

The overwhelming majority (81%) of those polled believe President Milosevic should be charged and tried as a war criminal. Eleven percent say NO, he should not be charged and tried as a war criminal, while 8% were unable to decide.

  • The belief that Milosevic should be tried as a war criminal is consistent across the five countries examined - France (84%), Italy (83%), UK (82%), Germany (81%) and the U.S. (79%) - and age and gender demographic breakdowns.

For further information, please contact:

John Wright Senior Vice-President Angus Reid Group (416) 324-2900

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