Reuters/Ipsos Survey: 2020 Democratic Primary Tracker (1/31/2020)

Biden remains the favorite among Democratic registered voters, Bloomberg and Warren are tied for third.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, DC, January 31, 2020   The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that among Democratic registered voters, Former Vice President Joe Biden remains the favorite candidate (27%), Senator Bernie Sanders is in second place with 21% of the vote share, and Senator Elizabeth Warren (12%) and Former Mayor Michael Bloomberg (12%) are tied for third place. About 4 in 5 Democratic registered voters report they are completely or mostly certain about who they will vote for in the primary (84%). If their preferred candidate were to drop out of the race, Warren (21%) and Sanders (19%) are the top second choices, followed by Biden (17%) and Bloomberg (13%).  

About two-thirds of Democratic registered voters report being interested in the early state primaries and caucuses in Iowa (67%), New Hampshire (68%), Nevada (66%), and South Carolina (66%). Sixteen percent report that the results of the early state primaries will have a major impact on their choice and a quarter of Democratic registered voters (23%) said it would have no impact at all.  

About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between January 29-30, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,116 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 964 registered voters, 444 Democratic registered voters, 399 Republican registered voters, and 82 independent registered voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval ± 3.6 percentage points for registered voters, ± 5.3 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 5.6 percentage points for Republican registered voters, and ± 12.3 percentage points for independent registered voters.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
Kate.Silverstein@ipsos.com

About Ipsos

Ipsos is the world’s third largest market research company, present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 people.Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.

Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1st, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).

ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs

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