Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (10/10/2018)

With less than a month until the election, Democrats continue to lead in the Reuters/Ipsos generic ballot.

Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (10/10/2018)

The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, D.C. – This week’s Reuters/Ipsos generic congressional ballot shows that half of all likely voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate (50%) while about two-fifths say they would vote for the Republican candidate (38%) – a 12-point margin. There is also a 7-point difference in the amount of Democrat likely voters (94%) and Republican likely voters (87%) who say they would vote for the candidate in their own party.

Trump’s approval rates currently stand at 39% amongst all Americans and 42% amongst all likely voters. The partisan split in his support is significant, with only 7% of Democrat likely voters versus 85% of Republican likely voters who approve. When it comes to specific issues, Americans are the most satisfied with Trump’s handling of employment and jobs (49%), the US economy (46%), and dealing with ISIS/ISIL (44%).

While the majority of likely voters say that they approve of the way their Congressperson is handling their job as Representative (51%), a much smaller portion say they approve of the way Congress as a whole is handling its job (24%). This is also true for Democrat likely voters (48% for their Congressperson vs. 13% for Congress) and Republican likely voters (61% for their Congressperson vs. 39% for Congress).

When asked about the overall direction of the country, most Americans (56%) and likely voters (58%) report that they believe it is off on the wrong track. Opinions differ greatly across party lines as most Democrat likely voters believe it is off on the wrong track (87%), while most Republican likely voters believe it is heading in the right direction (74%).

About this Study

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between October 3-9, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 3,708 Americans, including 2,012 likely voters, 902 likely voter Democrats, 794 likely voter Republicans, and 264 likely voter Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all adults, 2.5 percentage points for likely voters, 3.7 percentage points for likely voter Democrats, 4.0 percentage points for likely voter Republicans, and 6.9 percentage points for likely voter Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.

With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,780.5 million in 2017.

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The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs

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