Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (05/15/2019)

Joe Biden remains the current front runner in race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (05/15/2019)

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, D.C. - When it comes to the Democratic presidential primary, former Vice President Joe Biden (36%) commands the strongest lead among Democrat registered voters. Senator Bernie Sanders receives 15 percent of the vote share in the hypothetical ballot question. Senator Elizabeth Warren (9%), Senator Kamala Harris (8%), and Beto O'Rourke (7%) are the next top contenders among Democrat registered voters. The rest of the candidates received five percent or less of the vote share. Nine percent reported they did not know who they would vote for if the election were held today. Name recognition is strongest for Joe Biden (91%) and Bernie Sanders (89%), where nearly all Democrat registered voters report being somewhat or very familiar with the men. About three-quarters of Democrat registered voters reported being familiar with Elizabeth Warren (72%), and over half report being familiar with Kamala Harris (62%) and Beto O'Rourke (52%). Democrat registered voters are least familiar with Wayne Messam (11%) and Seth Moulton (10%), with just about one in 10 reporting they are somewhat or very familiar with either man. 

Americans' level of optimism remains low this week, with just 32 percent reporting they believe the country is headed in the right direction. This number is down two points from last week. Registered voters (33%) also report low levels of optimism concerning the country. There is a strong relationship between partisanship and optimism: Republican registered voters (65%) are by far the most positive about the direction of the country, compared to just 10 percent of Democrat registered voters and 23 percent of independent registered voters. 

President Donald Trump's job approval ratings remained unchanged among all Americans, with 39 percent reporting they somewhat or strongly approve of his performance. Registered voters feel similarly (40%). President Trump's base continues to drive his approval numbers, with 82 percent of Republican registered voters reporting they approve, and more than half of those strongly approve (52%). Democrat registered voters are the least likely to approve of Trump's performance, with just 9 percent reporting they approve. Just 33 percent of independent registered voters feel the same way. 

Healthcare (19%), immigration (18%) and the economy (12%) are seen as the most important issues facing the country today for all Americans. These issues continue to be cited as the most important problems week after week in the Reuters/Ipsos Core Political. Registered voters also report healthcare (20%), immigration (19%) and the economy (12%) as the most important issues in similar proportions. Democrat registered voters and Republican registered voters' concerns are very different from one another. Democrat registered voters believe that healthcare (29%) is the most important issue, followed by the economy (11%). Republican registered voters report that immigration (36%) is their biggest concern, followed by the economy (12%). Independent registered voters report healthcare (20%), the economy (16%) and immigration (13%) as their top issues.

 

 

About this Study

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between May 10-14, 2019. For the survey, a sample of 2,010 Americans, including 1,707 registered voters, 646 Democrat registered voters, 657 Republican registered voters, and 318 independent registered voters ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points for all adults, 2.7 percentage points for registered voters, 4.4 percentage points for Democrat registered voters, 4.4 percentage points for Republican registered voters, and 6.6 percentage points for independent registered voters. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.

With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,749.5 million in 2018.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs

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