Washington, DC, July 1, 2020 – This week’s Reuters/Ipsos Core Political shows Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the direction of the country as concern about the spread of the coronavirus increases. However, President Donald Trump’s approval rating continues to be low but stable; and while former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead President Trump by a wide margin, the gap has narrowed slightly in the last two weeks.
Just 20% of Americans report that the country is headed in the right direction, the lowest number of the Trump administration.
- More Republican registered voters are now reporting that the country is headed on the wrong track (44%) than in the right direction (42%). In the February 25, 2020 edition of the Core Political, following the end of impeachment and before coronavirus took hold, 72% of Republican registered voters reported that the country was headed in the right direction and just 21% said the country was on the wrong track.
- Democratic registered voters’ perceptions of the direction of the country remain unchanged: just 8% say the country is headed in the right direction and 87% say we are off on the wrong track.
- Independent registered voters are also unsatisfied, with just 11% saying the country is headed in the right direction, a 14 point drop from February of this year.
President Trump’s approval rating sits at 39% this week among all Americans, unchanged from last week.
- Nearly 9 in 10 Republican registered voters (86%) approve of Trump’s handling of the presidency, up 5 points from last week.
- On the other hand, 9 in 10 Democratic registered voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance (91%).
- Just 1 in 3 independent registered voters (32%) reports they approve of how Trump is doing his job.
Concern over coronavirus has grown to 81%, driven primarily by Republican registered voters' increasing concern.
- Seventy-one percent of Republican registered voters say they are somewhat or very concerned personally about the spread of coronavirus, up 9 points from earlier this month (62% - June 8-9, 2020).
- Democratic registered voters have remained consistently concerned about the coronavirus, with 9 in 10 reporting they are somewhat or very concerned since tracking began in March of this year.
Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead over President Trump has narrowed slightly from two weeks ago.
- Thirty-eight percent of registered voters would support Trump if the election were held today, compared to 46% who would support Biden.
- Vote share is split along partisan lines with 85% of Republican registered voters reporting they would support Trump, and 83% of Democratic registered voters saying they would support Biden.
About the Study
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between June 29-30, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,115 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 943 registered voters, 461 Democratic registered voters, 350 Republican registered voters and 100 independent registered voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results int ended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval of ± 3.6 percentage points for all registered voters, ± 5.2 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 6.0 percentage points for Republican registered voters, and ± 11.2 percentage points for independent registered voters.
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