Reuters/Ipsos Survey: 2020 Democratic Primary Tracker (11/15/2019)

Reuters/Ipsos Poll shows Michael Bloomberg has little overall impact on the state of the race for the Democratic presidential nomination.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, DC, November 15, 2019 -  A new Reuters/Ipsos public opinion survey of 2,235 Americans shows that in a test ballot, Michael Bloomberg, the former mayor of New York City, attracts the support of 3% of Democrats and independents for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. When comparing ballots that include and exclude Bloomberg, it appears Bloomberg may pull support away from the current frontrunner and former Vice President, Joe Biden. Overall, however, Bloomberg only receives a fraction of the support of Biden (19%), Senator Bernie Sanders (19%) and Senator Elizabeth Warren (13%). When Bloomberg is excluded from the ballot, Biden receives 23% of the vote share of Democrats and independents, Sanders receives (18%) and Warren receives (11%). Neither ballot included Deval Patrick, former Governor of Massachusetts, who announced on November 14, 2019 that he will be entering the race for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2020.  

Read the full Reuters story here.  

About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between November 12-14, 2019 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 2,235 adults age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 958 Democrats, 848 Republicans, and 249 independents. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 2.4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval ± 3.6 percentage points for Democrats, ± 3.8 percentage points for Republicans ± 7.1 percentage points for independents.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs