Reuters/Ipsos Survey: 2020 Democratic Primary Tracker (02/10/2020)

Biden is slipping in the polls, while Bloomberg surges to third place for the Democratic presidential nomination.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, DC, February 10, 2020 — The latest Reuters/Ipsos Democratic Primary Tracker shows that Former Vice President Joe Biden is losing ground in the race for the Democratic nomination for president. Biden receives just 17% of the vote share among Democratic and independent registered voters, falling second place to Senator Bernie Sanders (20%). Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg has gained momentum with 15% of the vote share, crowding out Senator Elizabeth Warren (11%) for the third place spot among Democratic and independent registered voters. Former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg receives 8% of the vote share following his performance in the Iowa caucuses.

Among Democratic registered voters, Biden (21%) and Sanders (21%) are in a dead heat for first place, while Bloomberg (16%) has just surpassed Warren (13%). Buttigieg also receives 8% of the vote share among Democratic registered voters.

Perceptions around electability have also shifted since the Iowa caucuses. When asked who is most likely to beat President Trump, 26% of Democratic registered voters say it is Biden, down 11 points since last week (37%). Sanders (25%) and Bloomberg (16%) are seen as the next most viable candidates to compete against President Trump in the general election (up 7 points and 2 points from last week, respectively).

Read the full Reuters' story here.

About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between February 7-10, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,116 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 952 registered voters, 436 Democratic registered voters, 396 Republican registered voters, and 83 independent registered voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval ± 3.6 percentage points for registered voters, ± 5.4 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 5.6 percentage points for Republican registered voters, and ± 12.3 percentage points for independent registered voters.

 

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025
[email protected]

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
[email protected]

About Ipsos

Ipsos is the world’s third largest market research company, present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 people.

Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.

Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1st, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).

ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Director, US, Public Affairs

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