Washington, DC, February 20, 2020 — A new Ipsos poll, conducted on behalf of Teen Vogue, surveyed adults age 18-34 to gain insight on their views for the upcoming 2020 presidential election. Less than a third of total respondents believe President Trump deserves to be reelected (27%), while 63% of Republicans say the same. This number is lowest among Democrats (8%) and Independents (18%). The vast majority view healthcare, the economy, and education as priority issues for American political leaders to address (92%, 91%, and 91% respectively) and this is consistent across partisan lines. LGBTQ rights are at the bottom with 64% of respondents, 47% of Republicans, 79% of Democrats, and 61% of Independents who consider it to be a priority. When asked which issue is the most important for American political leaders to address, the economy is the main issue for total respondents (19%), Republicans (27%), and Independents (19%), while a plurality of Democrats responded with climate change (25%).
Democrats are significantly more likely to support government subsidies to clean energy providers and reducing greenhouse gas emissions by placing a cost on carbon pollution (80% and 77% respectively). Republicans are significantly more likely to support natural gas production and development (64%). Of the policies for addressing gun violence, Democrat support is highest for banning assault weapons (77%), while Republican and Independent support are highest for security officers in schools for student safety (84% and 75% respectively). On the subject of criminal justice reform, Republicans, Democrats, and Independents all have the highest support for requiring on-duty police officers to wear body cameras at all times (78%, 88%, and 77% respectively). Strong partisan differences surface for policies addressing abortion and immigration. Six in ten Republicans support allowing states restrict the timing of abortion (63%), compared to 34% of Democrats and 48% of Independents. Just over eight in ten Democrats support allowing federal funding for women’s health and family planning services, including abortion (81%) while 49% of Republicans say the same. Republicans and Independents are significantly more likely than Democrats to support building a wall along the U.S.-Mexico border (61% and 25%, compared to 17% of Democrats) and restricting the number of asylum seekers allowed to enter the country (64% and 42% compared to 31% of Democrats). Democrats are the most likely of all political affiliations to support reinstating the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program (DACA) and abolishing Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE).
Democrats and Independents are most likely to support 2020 presidential candidates who have a plan to reduce debt (80% and 68% respectively). Republicans are most likely to support candidates who promise to protect American manufacturers (71%).
About the Study
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between November 14-26, 2019, on behalf of Teen Vogue. For this survey, a sample of roughly 2,206 adults age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska, and Hawaii was interviewed online in English. The sample includes 734 Republicans, 988 Democrats, and 231 Independents.
The sample for this study was randomly drawn from Ipsos’ online panel (see link below for more info on “Access Panels and Recruitment”), partner online panel sources, and “river” sampling (see link below for more info on the Ipsos “Ampario Overview” sample method) and does not rely on a population frame in the traditional sense. Ipsos uses fixed sample targets, unique to each study, in drawing a sample. After a sample has been obtained from the Ipsos panel, Ipsos calibrates respondent characteristics to be representative of the U.S. Population using standard procedures such as raking-ratio adjustments. The source of these population targets is U.S. Census 2016 American Community Survey data. The sample drawn for this study reflects fixed sample targets on demographics. Posthoc weights were made to the population characteristics on gender, age, race/ethnicity, region, and education.
Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online non-probability polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points for all respondents. Ipsos calculates a design effect (DEFF) for each study based on the variation of the weights, following the formula of Kish (1965). This study had a credibility interval adjusted for design effect of the following (n=2,206, DEFF=1.5, adjusted Confidence Interval=+/-3.9 percentage points).
The poll also has a credibility interval of plus or minus 4.1 percentage points for Republicans, plus or minus 3.6 percentage points for Democrats, and plus or minus 7.4 percentage points for Independents.
For more information on this news release, please contact:
Vice President, US
+1 202 420-2025
Media Relations Specialist, US
+1 718 755-8829
Ipsos is the world’s third largest market research company, present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 people.
Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.
Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1st, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).
ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP www.ipsos.com
For additional analysis, visit Teen Vogue.