2016 US Elections - Clinton Leads by 10 Points to Trump’s (June 23)

Barack Obama’s approval rating remains positive, at 50% this week on the last Ipsos/Reuters Poll.

Political Trends

Terrorism is the most cited problem facing America, mentioned as the top issue for ¼ of respondents this week. The previous main problem, the economy, is in second with 18%.

 

General Election Matchups

The general election race between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump is essentially unchanged. Clinton leads by 10 points, at 44% to Trump’s 34% among registered voters nationwide.

  • 23% of registered voters are uncommitted saying they would vote for another party, don’t know who they’d vote for or they wouldn’t vote.

 

General Election Matchups Full Ballot

In our second publication of the 4-way ballot including Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Jill Stein, the overall picture is relatively similar to the 2-way ballot. Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 9 points among registered voters, 43% to 34%.

  • The two third party candidates cumulatively attract the support of 11% of registered voters with Johnson at 6% and Stein at 5%.
  • The two third-party candidate pull unequally from the major parties, but the cumulative effect appears to wash out. Johnson pulls more strongly from the Republican party while Stein pulls support almost entirely from Democrats (and independents for both).

 

Generic Congressional Ballot

In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats continue to hold a sizable advantage nationwide at 47% to 33%.

 

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters June 18-22, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 1,585 Americans ages 18+ were interviewed online.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson
    Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
  • Clifford Young
    President, Public Affairs, USA

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