2016 US Elections - Trump Continues to Win Across Traditional Republican States (October 31)

General Election Matchup

Hillary Clinton leads in states equaling 278 votes while Donald Trump continues to lead in states equaling 174 electoral college votes with 86 votes up for grabs.

• Clinton leads in the traditional Democratic states plus the battlegrounds of Virginia, North Carolina and Florida.
• Trump continues to win across traditional Republican states but struggles to expand the map.
• Pennsylvania, Ohio, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada and Arizona are too close to call this week.
• Additionally, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, North Carolina, South Carolina and Wisconsin are all within five percentage points indicating they are on the edge of competitiveness.

For more information, visit Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters, 2016. For the survey, a sample of ** Americans ages 18+ were interviewed online. 

Michigan

• Hillary Clinton has a 4 percentage point lead over Donald Trump amongst likely voters. When looking at the four-way ballot that includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, Clinton’s lead stays constant at 4-percentage points amongst likely voters.

• When it comes to which candidate would do a better job with the economy and jobs, more likely voters in Michigan say that Donald Trump would do a better job than Hillary Clinton (43% to 39%).
• At the same time, those same voters believe that Hillary Clinton would do a better job managing foreign trade (40% to 36%).
• Six in ten Michigan residents believe that international trade helps the average American by keeping the cost of goods low, but another three-quarters of Michigan residents say that international trade hurts the average American because it causes Americans to lose jobs.

Data collected October 6-17, 2016 in English. These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 6-17, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,400 Americans, ages 18+ were interviewed online.

Ohio

• Hillary Clinton has a 3 percentage point lead over Donald Trump amongst likely voters. When looking at the four-way ballot that includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, Clinton’s lead increased to 4-percentage points amongst likely voters.
• In the Senate race, Republican Rob Portman has a sizable 12 percentage point lead over his Democratic opponent Ted Strickland amongst likely voters (49% to 37%).

• Three-quarters (76%) of likely voters say that international trade hurts average Americans because it keeps wages down due to the cheaper costs for foreign labor.
• Additionally, over a half of likely voters (52%) say that international trade between countries causes job losses in the US.
• Nearly one half of (47%) of likely voters say that they favor using hydraulic fracking as a means of increasing natural gas production in the US.

Data collected October 6-12, 2016 in English. These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 6-12, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,002 Americans, ages 18+ were interviewed online.

Pennsylvania

• Hillary Clinton has a 6-percentage point lead over Donald Trump amongst likely voters. When looking at the four-way ballot that includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein, Clinton’s lead increased to 7-percentage points amongst likely voters.
• In the Senate race, Democrat Kathleen McGinty holds a 3-percentage point lead over her Republican opponent Pat Toomey amongst likely voters (43% to 40%).

• There is a near 50/50 split amongst likely voters as to whether the government should encourage people to find jobs outside the coal industry.
• In fact, 80% of likely voters say that clean energy will create new jobs and growth.
• But at the same time, nearly one half of (48%) of likely voters say that they favor using hydraulic fracking as a means of increasing natural gas production in the US.

Data collected October 6-17, 2016 in English. These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters October 6-17, 2016. For the survey, a sample of 2,401 Americans, ages 18+ were interviewed online.