2016 US Elections - What Are The effects of Trump’s “Hot Mike” Incident? (October 19)
General Election Trends
Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump among likely voters, though her lead has shrunk to 4 percentage points, with Clinton at 43% to Trump at 39%.
- Nearly a fifth of likely voters continue to support alternatives to the major two candidates with 18% saying they will vote third party (8%), would not vote (3%) or don’t know (7%).
- Clinton maintains a similar lead amongst likely voters on the 4-way ballot with the same 4 percentage point margin, which includes Gary Johnson and Jill Stein (Clinton 42%; Trump 38%; Johnson 6%; and Stein 2%).
Clinton’s favorability holds relatively steady with 49% amongst registered voters, while Trump’s favorability score has also held steady at 42%.
Other trends
The general economy and terrorism continue to be tied for the most serious problem facing the United States, with one-fifth of Americans citing each as a top threat.
President Barack Obama’s approval rating among all Americans also remains relatively stead over the course of the last week and stands at 51%.
In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats saw their lead shrink slightly with 43% of likely voters saying that they’ll vote for a Democratic candidate vs 39% saying that they’ll vote for a Republican candidate.