2017 French Election: The Lead Narrows for the Two Front Runners (April 19)

With only 4 days until the French Presidential election, Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron lead the field in the latest Ipsos/Sopra Steria poll conducted on behalf of CEVIPOF and Le Monde. The results are based on a sample of 11,601 registered voters, aged 18+, with interviews conducted online between 16 – 17 April, 2017.

2017 French Election: The Lead Narrows for the Two Front Runners (April 19)

The author(s)

  • Brice Teinturier Ipsos Public Affairs, France
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22,5% (-2,5 points vs the previous wave conducted on 12-13 April, 2017) of likely voters say they support Marine Le Pen, 23% (-2 points) for Emmanuel Macron, followed by François Fillon 19,5% (+2 points). Jean-Luc Mélenchon trails with 19% (+4 points) of likely voters.

Intention to vote

72% (+6 points versus 31st March – 2nd April) of the French people report that they intend to vote in the first round of the election, when turnout is traditionally highest.

First-round 

Uncertainty remains high: 28% (- 6 points) of likely voters report that they could still change their mind about who to vote for. 30% of likely voters for Mélenchon and 26% for Macron declared they could still change their mind, whereas Fillon’s and Le Pen’s supporters are more confident in their choices with just 19% and 16% respectively reporting that their choice isn’t definite.

French Presidential Election - Round 1 - April 19

The author(s)

  • Brice Teinturier Ipsos Public Affairs, France

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