2017 French Election: The Lead Narrows for the Two Front Runners (April 19)
With only 4 days until the French Presidential election, Marine Le Pen and Emmanuel Macron lead the field in the latest Ipsos/Sopra Steria poll conducted on behalf of CEVIPOF and Le Monde. The results are based on a sample of 11,601 registered voters, aged 18+, with interviews conducted online between 16 – 17 April, 2017.
22,5% (-2,5 points vs the previous wave conducted on 12-13 April, 2017) of likely voters say they support Marine Le Pen, 23% (-2 points) for Emmanuel Macron, followed by François Fillon 19,5% (+2 points). Jean-Luc Mélenchon trails with 19% (+4 points) of likely voters.
Intention to vote
72% (+6 points versus 31st March – 2nd April) of the French people report that they intend to vote in the first round of the election, when turnout is traditionally highest.
First-round
Uncertainty remains high: 28% (- 6 points) of likely voters report that they could still change their mind about who to vote for. 30% of likely voters for Mélenchon and 26% for Macron declared they could still change their mind, whereas Fillon’s and Le Pen’s supporters are more confident in their choices with just 19% and 16% respectively reporting that their choice isn’t definite.