2018 US Politics - President Trump's Approval Rating Remains Stable at 41% Among all Americans (October 31)
In our final Core Political release before next week’s midterm elections, the Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that Democrats remain positioned to make gains across the country. However, if this election will be the ‘blue wave’ hyped for much of the year or just a blue ripple will come down to small differences in relative turnout between the Republican and Democratic bases and a small number of late deciding voters.
Our last pre-election national poll shows Democrats continuing to hold a seven-point lead on the generic congressional ballot among likely voters with a significant block of undecided voters (49% Democrat, 42% Republican, 3% other, 6% don’t know). Partisans are almost entirely unified in intention to vote for their ticket (93% of Democrats vs 91% of Republicans) with the plurality of Independent voters supporting the Democrats (38% to 22% voting Republican).
Ipsos, along with Reuters and the University of Virginia Center for Politics, has also released our final round of state polls this morning. We find Florida trending blue, Arizona trending Red, and the Kansas governor’s race a tossup. However, all remain extremely close. These polls can be found on our website at www.ipsos.com/en-us/news-polls/. The summation of our twenty state polls this cycle show that races across the South and Southwest remain highly competitive, but the Midwest states of the “blue wall” look to be swinging back towards the Democratic Party.
Speaking of President Trump, his approval rating remains stable at 41% this week among all Americans. Republicans remain strongly behind the President with 87% approving of his job performance, including 57% strongly approving. Along with the President, the main issues defining this election continue to be healthcare (for Democrats) and immigration (for Republicans).
