2018 US Politics - Two Weeks Until the Midterm Elections (October 24)

In this week's generic congressional ballot, Democrats have a seven-point lead over Republicans among likely voters.

The author(s)
  • Clifford Young President, Public Affairs, USA
  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Ipsos Public Affairs, US
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With just two weeks until the midterm elections, Democrats are still the frontrunners in our Reuters/Ipsos generic congressional ballot. Among likely voters, Democrats (49%) enjoy a seven-point lead over Republicans (42%) when asked who they would vote for if the election for congress were held today. Two in five (40%) Americans would vote for the Democratic candidate if the elections for congress were held today - an eight-point lead over the Republican candidate (32%).

President Trump’s approval rate currently stands at 41% among all Americans, and 46% among likely voters. When it comes to specific issues, Americans are the most satisfied with Trump’s handling of employment and jobs (50%), the economy (48%), and dealing with ISIS/ISIL (46%).

Americans think that healthcare (20%) is the most important problem facing the U.S. today, followed by immigration (15%), and the economy (11%). Likely voters have similar opinions as Americans as a whole, with healthcare (22%), immigration (17%) and the economy (11%) rounding out the top three main issues.

When asked about the direction of the country, 35% of Americans say that the country is heading in the right direction while about half (52%) say it is off on the wrong track. Democrat likely voters have a bleaker view of the country compared to Republican likely voters; only 12% of Democrat likely voters say the country is heading in the right direction, while 80% of Republican likely voters agree.

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters between October 17-23, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 3,867 Americans, including 2,2062 likely voters, 924 likely voter Democrats, 844 likely voter Republicans, and 231 likely voter Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 1.8 percentage points for all adults, 2.5 percentage points for likely voters, 3.7 percentage points for likely voter Democrats, 3.8 percentage points for likely voter Republicans, and 7.4 percentage points for likely voter Independents.
The author(s)
  • Clifford Young President, Public Affairs, USA
  • Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Ipsos Public Affairs, US

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