Canada 2025 Election Ipsos Polling

Your one-stop spot for Ipsos’ political public opinion and election polling.

[WEBINAR] Ask Me Anything: Election 2025 Countdown

[WEBINAR] Ask Me Anything: Election 2025 Countdown

Watch our interactive Q+A webinar examining the current popular vote and the public opinion trends impacting key election issues.

 
What Canadians want Carney to care about

What Canadians want Carney to care about

Ipsos’ Mike Colledge breaks down what Canadians really want — and how those desires are shaping the national conversation.

Institute on Governance Event Summary

Institute on Governance Event Summary

What’s ahead for the new federal government? On May 1st, the IOG hosted a timely post-election debrief with Ipsos Canada to unpack shifting public opinion during one of Canada’s fastest elections in recent history.

The Hub: Did the Liberals truly unite Canada?

The Hub: Did the Liberals truly unite Canada?

In this article by Ipsos’ Darrell Bricker, we analyze the results of the election to highlight what the latest polling reveals about Canada’s deepening regional divides.

On The Line: What Just Happened?

On The Line: What Just Happened?

Ipsos’ Gregory Jack joins the podcast to discuss what happened on Monday, and what it all means going forward.

No Nonsense with Pamela Wallin: The Post-Election Discussion

No Nonsense with Pamela Wallin: The Post-Election Discussion

What is Pierre Poilievre's next move? Who elected Mark Carney? Our post-election panel looks at the fault lines that divide the voters. Darrell Bricker, Sean Speer, and Trevor Tombe on No Nonsense.

The Hub: I think we’re at a breaking point in this country

The Hub: I think we’re at a breaking point in this country

This episode of The Hub’s coverage of the 2025 federal election features Ipsos’ Darrell Bricker discussing the latest polling numbers, the important battleground regions in Canada for the Conservative and Liberal vote, and the division between provinces in voting intention.

The Election That Asks Canada What Country It Wants to Be

The Election That Asks Canada What Country It Wants to Be

Two leaders, one crisis, and a nation at a crossroads.

Liberals Poised to Win Fourth Term

On the eve of the 45th Canadian federal election, Ipsos polling for Global News reveals that the Liberals are poised to earn their fourth consecutive mandate.

How to make sense of the opinion polls during the 2025 Canadian election 

Federal polling in Canada is quite accurate. But that doesn’t mean you should let your guard down. Scrutinize the polls and kick the tires.

Gregory Jack: Canada’s generational divide and an election we didn’t see coming

Gregory Jack: Canada’s generational divide and an election we didn’t see coming

Ipsos data is seeing that Carney is backed by Boomers who see Canada’s existing institutions as worthy of protecting. Poilievre’s support comes from younger voters who view those same institutions as barriers to their success, not foundations.

The spectre of Trump is haunting Canada’s election. Here’s what’s going on

The spectre of Trump is haunting Canada’s election. Here’s what’s going on

Ipsos’ Gregory Jack highlights new research to explain how baby boomers once again are turning to the Liberals to manage their anxiety, this time over U.S. President Donald Trump, as younger Canadians – especially males – stick with the Conservatives.

Carney Ahead on Most Key Leadership Metrics as Election Day Nears, but Poilievre Gaining Steam on Affordability

Carney Ahead on Most Key Leadership Metrics as Election Day Nears, but Poilievre Gaining Steam on Affordability

Carney consistently outpaces Poilievre across crucial areas, however, Poilievre holds an edge over Carney when it comes to advocating for the middle class (+4 points).

Canadians Say No Clear Winner Emerged from Leaders’ Debates

Canadians Say No Clear Winner Emerged from Leaders’ Debates

25% Say Poilievre Exceeded Expectations; 14% Say the Same about Carney.

Race Tightens Further as Campaign Hits Final Stretch

Race Tightens Further as Campaign Hits Final Stretch

Conservatives (38%, +2) Close in on Liberals (41%, -1).

No Nonsense Podcast with Pamela Wallin

This election is all about leadership - and who Canadians believe will best manage the economy. Pollster Darrell Bricker joins Pamela to talk about the voters focus and whether it's still on Trump or cost-of-living issues here at home.

Election 2025: Day 22, Tightening polls and a pulse check on Quebec voters

Election 2025: Day 22, Tightening polls and a pulse check on Quebec voters 

Join The Hub’s experts daily during the campaign to unpack the stories making news during the election.

Conservatives Lead as Best Party to Deal with Economic Issues

Conservatives Lead as Best Party to Deal with Economic Issues

Affordability and the cost of living remain Canadians’ top concerns, with the Conservatives gaining an edge on key economic issues amid shifting national priorities.

Though Carney Still Leads in Dealing with Trump, Poilievre Gaining Momentum

Though Carney Still Leads in Dealing with Trump, Poilievre Gaining Momentum

Canadians still see Carney as the stronger leader to handle Trump, but Poilievre is gaining ground on economic resilience and national unity.

Race Tightens as Campaign Moves Into Critical Debate Week

Race Tightens as Campaign Moves Into Critical Debate Week

Carney Expected to Win English Debate, Poilievre French Debate.

Campaigns matter (until they don’t)

Campaigns matter (until they don’t)

In the past, most voters made up their minds early. Campaigns reinforced those decisions. That world is gone. Today, it’s about hesitation. Voters hold their options open until the very end. Ipsos polling shows that as many as one in 10 make their final decision on Election Day. In a close race, that’s not a rounding error. It’s the whole story.

Election 2025: Day 17, The federal election race is not over yet

Election 2025: Day 17, The federal election race is not over yet

Join The Hub’s experts daily during the campaign to unpack the stories making news during the election.

For Tories, energy debate isn’t powering up voters

For Tories, energy debate isn’t powering up voters

New polling from Ipsos shows seven in 10 Canadians (69 per cent) believe Canada needs to move with more haste on developing energy and resource projects. Ipsos’ Kyle Braid breaks down how this could play out on April 28.

Liberals Lead Conservatives as Best Able to Manage Canadian Energy and Resources

Liberals Lead Conservatives as Best Able to Manage Canadian Energy and Resources

Canadians Favour Liberal Approach to Balancing Economic Growth with Environmental Responsibility

Carney Liberals Open Up Double-Digit Lead

Carney Liberals Open Up Double-Digit Lead

Liberals Knocking on Door of Majority

Decided Liberal Voters Most Likely to Say They Will Vote to Ensure Another Party Does Not Win Election

Decided Liberal Voters Most Likely to Say They Will Vote to Ensure Another Party Does Not Win Election

Party stance on issues drives Conservative support; Liberal voters more focused on leadership and strategic voting

Week one goes to the Carney Liberals. But it isn’t over ’til it’s over

Week one goes to the Carney Liberals. But it isn’t over ’til it’s over

Darrell Bricker on why an election that was supposed to be about change has become a referendum on leadership

Election 2025: Day 11, Canada is not out of the Trump tariff woods yet

Election 2025: Day 11, Canada is not out of the Trump tariff woods yet

Join The Hub’s experts daily during the campaign to unpack the stories making news during the election. 

From Retaliation to Renewal: Tariffs are a wake-up call for Canada

Carney Seen as Best Leader to Represent Canada, Navigate Tough Economic Times 

Carney Holds Clear Leadership Edge Over Poilievre, Seen as Best to Represent Canada on Global Stage

Conservatives and Liberals Tied on Who's Best on #1 Issue: Affordability; Liberals Dominate on #2 Issue: Relationship with the US

Conservatives and Liberals Tied on Who's Best on #1 Issue: Affordability; Liberals Dominate on #2 Issue: Relationship with the US 

Affordability a Key Battleground, While Liberals Hold Strong Advantage on US Relations

Liberals Lead over Conservatives in Week One of Campaign

Liberals Lead over Conservatives in Week One of Campaign 

Liberals Ahead in Seat-Rich Ontario, Quebec, and British Columbia

Why this election might be hard to predict

Why this election might be hard to predict

Ipsos’ Sean Simpson op-ed Global News article about why this election might be hard to predict.

Hub Election 2025: Darrell Bricker on public opinion polling as election begins

Hub Election 2025: Darrell Bricker on public opinion polling as election begins

Join The Hub’s experts daily during the campaign to unpack the stories making news during the election.

Mark Carney’s Liberals Seen as Best Party to Deal with Trump & Tariffs

Liberals Lead over Mark Carney’s Liberals Seen as Best Party to Deal with Trump & Tariffs 

Carney Leads in Trump-Era Leadership, Poilievre Viewed as More Compliant

Cost of Living #1 Concern for Canadians (23%), but International Relations Gaining Momentum (15%, +11)

Liberals Lead over Mark Carney’s Liberals Cost of Living #1 Concern for Canadians (23%), but International Relations Gaining Momentum (15%, +11) 

Inflation Still Top of Mind, but Global Affairs and Partisan Divides Shape Concerns

Carney-Led Liberals (42%, +4) Expand Lead Over Stagnant Conservatives (36%, no change) and Weak NDP (10%, -2)

Carney-Led Liberals (42%, +4) Expand Lead Over Stagnant Conservatives (36%, no change) and Weak NDP (10%, -2) 

Liberals Hold Commanding Advantage in Ontario and Quebec

Affordability, Healthcare, and Relationship with The Us Top-of-mind Issues Among Canadians

Affordability, Healthcare, and Relationship with The Us Top-of-mind Issues Among Canadians 

Rising US Tensions Push International Relations Higher on Canadians' Priority List

Carney Lead in Dealing with Trump, Yet Doubts Persist

Poilievre and Carney Lead in Dealing with Trump, Yet Doubts Persist 

Canadians Divided on Leadership Strength in Navigating a Trump Presidency

Liberals Take Lead for First Time Since 2021

Liberals Take Lead for First Time Since 2021 

Renewed Liberals (+10) Drawing Support from Conservatives (-5), NDP (-4), and Bloc (-3)

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