First Tuesday poll, 1992

National survey in election week 1992 for the Yorkshire TV programme First Tuesday

MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,065 adults aged 18+ at 53 constituency sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face, in street, on the evening of 6 April and morning of 7 April 1992, and the results broadcast in the programme First Tuesday on the evening of 7 April 1992. Data were weighted to match the profile of the population.

Q1 How do you intend to vote in the General Election on Thursday? (If undecided or refused at Q1) Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

  %
Conservative 37
Labour 40
Liberal Democrats 20
Other 3
(Excludes 12% would not vote, undecided or refused)

Q3 From this card, can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the general election?

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Certain not to vote 3 * 1 1
Not very likely to vote 2 2 1 1
Quite likely to vote 6 7 3 7
Very likely to vote 9 11 9 8
Certain to vote 79 79 87 83
Don't know 1 * * *

Q4 Have you definitely decided to vote for the ... party or is there a chance you may change your mind before April 9? Base: All naming a party at Q1/Q2 (941)

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Definitely decided 74 74 80 66
May change mind 19 20 16 24
Don't know 7 6 4 10

Q5a If you do not vote for the ... party, which party would you vote for instead? Base: All who say they might change their minds (248)

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Conservative 9 0 8 24
Labour 11 10 0 24
Liberal Democrat 33 47 45 1
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist 4 2 7 4
Green Party 1 0 2 3
Other 0 0 0 0
Would not vote 4 4 6 4
Undecided 11 11 10 12
Refused 27 27 22 28

Q5b From this card, how likely is it that you will switch your support to the ... [PARTY NAMED AT Q5a]? Base: All naming a party they might switch to (147)

  All Con Lab LD
  % % % %
Very likely 3 0 8 0
Fairly likely 45 46 45 39
Not particularly likely 48 53 50 54
Not at all likely 1 2 0 1
No opinion 3 0 6 6

Q7 I'm going to read out a list of problems facing Britain today and for each one I would like you to tell me whether the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party has the best policy on each problem.

  Con Lab LD Other None/ don't know
Managing the economy % 38 29 11 1 21
Unemployment % 22 44 10 1 23
Taxation % 39 28 13 1 19
Health care % 27 47 10 1 15
Replacing the poll tax % 23 39 14 1 23

Q8 Which political party do you think would be most likely to introduce policies that improve your standard of living?

  %
Conservative 34
Labour 35
Liberal Democrats 14
Other 2
None 6
Don't know 9

Q9 Some people have said that the law should be changed so there is a minimum level of pay below which employers cannot pay their employees. To what extent would you support or oppose the introduction of a national minimum wage of three pounds forty pence per hour?

  %
Strongly support 42
Tend to support 27
Neither support nor oppose 7
Tend to oppose 11
Strongly oppose 9
Don't know 4

Q10 If you could choose the next Prime Minister from this list, regardless of how you intend to vote at the General Election, who would you choose?

  %
Ashdown 17
Beith *
Hattersley 1
Heseltine 7
Kinnock 18
Major 22
Smith 12
Steel 3
Thatcher 12
Other 1
None of these/don't know 0

Q11 If neither the Conservatives nor Labour win an overall majority in the House of Commons at the General Election, which of these options would you prefer?

  All Lib Dem supporters
  % %
Conservative/Liberal Democrat government 23  30
Labour/Liberal Democrat government 30  39
A quick election to decide who should form a government 41  26
Other 2  1
Don't know 4  4

Q12 Which of the statements on this card comes closest to your own view?

  %
The Government has built strong foundations for Britain's economic recovery, and they deserve to win the election 23
The Government has built strong foundations for Britain's economic recovery, but at this election it is time for a change 16
The Government has failed to build a strong economy, but they deserve to win the election 12
The Government has failed to build a strong economy. At this election it is time for a change 43
None of these 3
Don't know 3

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