Ipsos Political Monitor April
This month's Ipsos Political Monitor finds the lowest level of satisfaction with the Government since it was first elected in 1997. The poll, which was conducted between 27 April and 2 May, finds that 22% are satisfied with the way the Government is running the country, compared to 68% who are dissatisfied, a net satisfaction score of -46%, eight percentage points lower than in March.
Net satisfaction with the way Tony Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister stands at -35%, higher than the Government as a whole, but representing a four-point drop from last month. Net satisfaction with the way David Cameron is doing his job as the leader of the Conservative party has fallen 11 points, from +13% in March to +2% now.
Voting intention figures show a Conservative lead of four points.
Topline Results
- Ipsos interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,107 adults aged 18+ at 195 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 27 April - 2 May 2006.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,235)
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 36 |
| Labour | 32 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 21 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 4 |
| UK Independence Party | 2 |
| Other | 3 |
| Lab lead (177%) | -4 |
| Would not vote | 1 |
| Undecided | 9 |
| Refused | 3 |
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?Base: All naming a party (2,107)
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 33 |
| Labour | 35 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 20 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 3 |
| Green Party | 4 |
| UK Independence Party | 2 |
| Other | 3 |
| Lab lead (177%) | +2 |
| Would not vote | 11 |
| Undecided | 13 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q3 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?Q4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister?Q5 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Cameron is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party?Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Sir Menzies Campbell is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?Base: 1,078 British adults 18+
| Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | 177% | |
| Government (Q3) | 22 | 68 | 10 | -46 |
| Blair (Q4) | 29 | 64 | 7 | -35 |
| Cameron (Q5) | 29 | 27 | 44 | +2 |
| Campbell (Q6) | 26 | 20 | 54 | +6 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)Base: 1,078 British adults 18+
| Q7 | Q7/8 | |
|---|---|---|
| % | % | |
| National Health Service/Hospitals | 18 | 47 |
| Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 19 | 35 |
| Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 11 | 30 |
| Education/schools | 7 | 28 |
| Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 11 | 23 |
| Pensions/social security | 2 | 12 |
| Pollution/environment | 4 | 11 |
| Economy/economic situation | 4 | 9 |
| Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 3 | 7 |
| Taxation | 1 | 7 |
| Housing | 1 | 6 |
| Poverty/inequality | 2 | 5 |
| Petrol prices/fuel | 1 | 5 |
| Morality/individual behaviour | 1 | 5 |
| Public services in general | 1 | 3 |
| Drug abuse | 1 | 3 |
| Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution | 1 | 3 |
| Transport/public transport | * | 3 |
| Bird flu/Flu pandemic | 1 | 2 |
| Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 2 |
| Local government/council tax | * | 2 |
| Inflation/prices | * | 2 |
| Countryside/rural life | * | 2 |
| Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | * | 1 |
| Privatisation | * | * |
| GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | * | * |
| Animal welfare | * | * |
| AIDS | * | * |
| Tsunami/South East Asia | 0 | * |
| Trade unions/strikes | 0 | * |
| Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | 0 | * |
| Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | 0 | * |
| Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | 0 | * |
| Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 |
| Other | 6 | 16 |
| Don't know | 5 | 4 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?Base: 1,078 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Improve | 11 |
| Stay the same | 42 |
| Get worse | 41 |
| Don't know | 6 |
| Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -30 |
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?Base: 2,107 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| 10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 58 |
| 9 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 10 |
| Don't know | 2 |
| Refused | * |
