Ipsos Political Monitor March 2007

Ipsos's March voting intention findings, carried out face-to-face between 9-15 March amongst 1,983 British adults aged 18+, show the Conservative Party eight points ahead of Labour amongst those who say they are absolutely certain to vote.

Topline Results

• Ipsos interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,983 adults aged 18+ at 163 sampling points across Great Britain.
• Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 9-15 March 2007.
• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
• Full data tabulations (weighted and unweighted) are available upon request.

As we are still running methodological tests while merging the Ipsos and MORI field operations, we are not publishing a full Political Monitor in March, but to maintain the trend on voting intention, we are releasing the voting intention results from a parallel omnibus survey we run (Capibus, a face-to-face in-home survey). Question wording and weighting are identical to the Political Monitor voting intention surveys.

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (944)

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,983)

Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,983 British adults 18+