Local Elections, Kosovo and the Tory Leadership

Local Elections
  • MORI interviewed 1,008 adults aged 18+ across Great Britain (627 adults on Qs 8-21)
  • Interviews were conducted by telephone on 30 April - 1 May 1999.
  • Based on all unless otherwise stated.
  • Data are weighted to the profile of Great Britain.
  • An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero.

Local Elections

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base : All

160 %
Conservative 30
Labour 50
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 14
Scottish Nationalist (SNP) 2
Welsh Nationalist (Plaid Cymru) *
Green Party 1
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party *
Other 2
160
Would not vote 11
Undecided 8
Refused 1

Q3 As far as you know, are local elections due to be held in this area on 6th May? Base : All

160 %
Yes - elections to be held in May 85
No - no elections in May 9
Don't know 6
160
Correct 78
Incorrect 16

Q4 In fact there are local elections in this area next week on May 6th. How likely is it that you will get along to vote in these council elections? IN SCOTLAND AND WALES ASK: By local elections I mean elections for local councils, not elections to the Scottish Parliament/Welsh Assembly. Base: All areas where local elections being held (799)

160 %
Certain to vote 50
Very likely to vote 16
Quite likely to vote 10
Not very likely to vote 10
Certain not to vote 12
Don't know 2

Q5 If you do get along to vote in the local election, which party will you vote for? IN SCOTLAND AND WALES ASK: Again, by local elections I mean elections for local councils, not elections to the Scottish Parliament/Welsh Assembly. IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q5

Q6 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All areas where local elections being held

160 Certain to vote
160 (799) (397)
160 % %
Conservative 26 29
Labour 41 38
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 19 19
Scottish Nationalist (SNP) 3 3
Welsh Nationalist (Plaid Cymru) 1 1
Green Party 1 1
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party 0 0
Other 8 8
160
Will not vote 4 0
Undecided 6 3
Refused 3 4

Q7 On balance, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way your local council is running the area? Base: All

160 %
Satisfied 61
Dissatisfied 30
Don't know 9
160
Net satisfied +31

The Tories

I am now going to ask you some questions about national politics ...

Q8 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, Mr Blair, Mr Hague or Mr Ashdown? Base: All (627)

160 %
Blair 53
Hague 9
Ashdown 16
None of these 14
Don't know 9

Q9 If Mr Hague were to stand down as Conservative Party leader, which one, if any, of these politicians would you like to see lead the Conservative Party? Base: All (627)

160 All (627) All Conservatives (154)
160 % %
Michael Heseltine 15 13
Kenneth Clarke 21 16
Ann Widdecombe 5 6
Francis Maude * 1
Michael Portillo 9 15
John Redwood 5 8
Margaret Thatcher 15 24
Peter Lilley 2 3
160
None of these 17 6
Don't know 12 9

Q10 If there were a General Election tomorrow and the Conservative Party was led by Michael Portillo / Ken Clarke, how would you vote? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q10a

Q10a Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All (627)

160 Portillo Clarke
160 % %
Conservative 32 35
Labour 50 47
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) 11 11
Scottish Nationalist (SNP) 2 1
Welsh Nationalist (Plaid Cymru) 1 1
Green Party 1 1
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party 0 *
Other 4 4
160
Would not vote 13 11
Undecided 6 5
Refused 2 2

Kosovo

I am now going to ask you some questions about foreign affairs ...

Q12 As you may know, NATO forces are currently taking part in air raids in Yugoslavia. On balance, do you believe that Britain is right or wrong to have joined in the NATO bombing of Yugoslavia? Base: All (627)

160 %
Right 70
Wrong 21
Don't know 8

Q13 From what you know, do you believe the air raids have helped protect ethnic Albanians in Kosovo, made their situation more dangerous or made no real difference? Base: All (627)

160 %
Helped protect 24
More dangerous 37
No real difference 31
Don't know 8

Q14 As you may know, tens of thousands of refugees have fled from Kosovo. How many of these refugees, if any, would you be prepared to accept as asylum seekers in the United Kingdom? Base: All (627)

160 %
None 11
Up to 100 2
101-500 5
501-1000 8
1001-5000 16
5001-10,000 12
More than 10,000 22
Don't know 24

Q15-Q18 I am going to read out a number of statements. Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each. Base: All (627)

160 Agree Disagree Don't Know
160 % % %
Bombing Yugoslavia will force Serbia to stop abusing human rights in Kosovo 36 55 9
Britain should send ground troops into the Conflict 51 40 9
Britain and NATO should send assassins to kill Slobodan Milosevic 39 53 8
NATO cannot stop the abuse of human rights in Kosovo without the use of ground troops 63 25 11

Q19 From what you know, how long do you think the current Serbian conflict will last? Q20 And how long do you think Britain should remain involved in the current Serbian conflict? Base: All (627)

160 Q19 Q20
160 % %
Stop immediately/today * 8
Within one week * *
One to two weeks 1 0
Over 2 - 4 weeks 5 1
Over 1 month to 3 months 15 1
Over 3 months to 6 months 15 2
Over 6 months 33 2
Until it ends n/a 80
Don't know 30 7

Q21 How many British lives, if any, would you say it would be worth losing to protect the ethnic Albanians in Kosovo? Base: All (627)

160 %
None 45
Under 10 4
11-100 6
101-1000 6
Over 1000 5
Don't know 34

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