MORI Political Monitor August 2005
MORI's latest monthly Political Monitor survey, conducted between 11 and 15 August 2005, shows that the proportion of the public satisfied with the way Tony Blair is doing his job has slipped to 39%, down from 44% recorded in MORI's July Political Monitor which was conducted in the aftermath of the London bombings. Terrorism/defence/foreign affairs continue to be seen as the key national priority, with over half the public spontaneously citing these as the most important issues facing the country.
Topline Results
- MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,047 adults aged 18+ at 200 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 11-15 August 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,191)
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 31 |
| Labour | 39 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 24 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| 160 | |
| Lab lead (177%) | +8 |
| 160 | |
| Would not vote | 1 |
| Undecided | 4 |
| Refused | 2 |
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (2,047)
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 28 |
| Labour | 43 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 22 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 1 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 3 |
| 160 | |
| Lab lead (177%) | +15 |
| 160 | |
| Would not vote | 12 |
| Undecided | 7 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,061 British adults 18+
| 160 | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | % | % | % | 177% |
| Government (Q3) | 36 | 54 | 9 | -18 |
| Blair (Q4) | 39 | 51 | 10 | -12 |
| Howard (Q5) | 25 | 45 | 31 | -20 |
| Kennedy (Q6) | 46 | 26 | 28 | +20 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,061 British adults 18+
| 160 | Q7 | Q7/8 |
|---|---|---|
| 160 | % | % |
| Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 41 | 56 |
| Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 18 | 35 |
| National Health Service/Hospitals | 5 | 28 |
| Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 8 | 24 |
| Education/schools | 4 | 19 |
| Economy/economic situation | 4 | 13 |
| Pensions/social security | 1 | 8 |
| Poverty/inequality | 2 | 7 |
| Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 2 | 7 |
| Housing | 1 | 6 |
| Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution | 1 | 4 |
| Drug abuse | 1 | 4 |
| Morality/individual behaviour | 1 | 4 |
| Pollution/environment | 1 | 4 |
| Taxation | 1 | 4 |
| Petrol prices/fuel | * | 4 |
| Transport/public transport | 0 | 3 |
| Inflation/prices | * | 2 |
| Local government/council tax | 0 | 2 |
| Public services in general | 1 | 1 |
| Countryside/rural life | * | 1 |
| Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 1 |
| Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | * | 1 |
| Animal welfare | * | * |
| Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease | * | * |
| Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | * | * |
| Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | * | * |
| Privatisation | * | * |
| Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | * | * |
| AIDS | 0 | * |
| GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | 0 | * |
| Northern Ireland | 0 | * |
| Trade unions/strikes | 0 | * |
| Tsunami/ South East Asia | 0 | * |
| 160 | ||
| Other | 2 | 8 |
| Don't know | 3 | 3 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,061 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Improve | 12 |
| Stay the same | 45 |
| Get worse | 37 |
| Don't know | 6 |
| MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -25 |
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 2,047 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| 10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 57 |
| 9 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 10 |
| Don't know | 2 |
| Refused | 0 |
