MORI Political Monitor October 2005
Topline Results
- MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,904 adults aged 18+ at 200 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 20-25 October 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,139)
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 34 |
| Labour | 40 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 21 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 1 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| 160 | |
| Lab lead (177%) | +6 |
| 160 | |
| Would not vote | * |
| Undecided | 7 |
| Refused | 2 |
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,904)
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 30 |
| Labour | 43 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 21 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| 160 | |
| Lab lead (177%) | +13 |
| 160 | |
| Would not vote | 12 |
| Undecided | 8 |
| Refused | 2 |
Q3-4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair are doing their job? Base: 1,005 British adults 18+
| 160 | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | % | % | % | 177% |
| Government (Q3) | 35 | 56 | 9 | -21 |
| Blair (Q4) | 36 | 55 | 9 | -19 |
Q5 Which one of the following politicians I am going to read out, if any, would you like to see lead the Conservative Party? Base: 1,005 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| David Cameron | 26 |
| Ken Clarke | 17 |
| David Davis | 7 |
| Liam Fox | 3 |
| Andrew Lansley | 0 |
| Stewart Lewis* | 1 |
| Theresa May | 1 |
| Malcolm Rifkind | 1 |
| David Willetts | * |
| Other | 1 |
| None of these | 11 |
| Don't know | 33 |
*Fake name
Q6 And if the leadership contest came down to David Cameron or David Davis, which would you like to see lead the Conservative Party? Base: 1,005 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| David Cameron | 42 |
| David Davis | 15 |
| Don't know | 43 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,005 British adults 18+
| 160 | Q7 | Q7/8 |
|---|---|---|
| 160 | % | % |
| National Health Service/Hospitals | 11 | 34 |
| Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 17 | 31 |
| Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 13 | 31 |
| Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 18 | 30 |
| Education/schools | 6 | 26 |
| Pensions/social security | 2 | 12 |
| Economy/economic situation | 4 | 10 |
| Taxation | 2 | 7 |
| Drug abuse | 2 | 6 |
| Pollution/environment | 2 | 6 |
| Poverty/inequality | 2 | 6 |
| Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 2 | 6 |
| Housing | 1 | 6 |
| Common Market/EU/ Europe/EURO/Constitution | 2 | 5 |
| Morality/individual behaviour | 1 | 5 |
| Local government/council tax | 1 | 4 |
| Transport/public transport | * | 4 |
| Petrol prices/fuel | 1 | 3 |
| Public services in general | 1 | 3 |
| Inflation/prices | * | 2 |
| AIDS | * | 1 |
| Countryside/rural life | * | 1 |
| Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 1 |
| Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | * | 1 |
| Tsunami/ South East Asia | * | 1 |
| Animal welfare | * | * |
| Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease | * | * |
| GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | * | * |
| Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | 0 | * |
| Northern Ireland | 0 | * |
| Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | 0 | * |
| Privatisation | 0 | * |
| Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | 0 | 0 |
| Trade unions/strikes | 0 | 0 |
| Other | 6 | 6 |
| Don't know | 6 | 5 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,005 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| Improve | 9 |
| Stay the same | 44 |
| Get worse | 41 |
| Don't know | 6 |
| MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -32 |
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,904 British adults 18+
| 160 | % |
|---|---|
| 10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 59 |
| 9 | 5 |
| 8 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 10 |
| Don't know | 2 |
| Refused | * |
