Pre-Election Poll

• MORI interviewed 1,034 British adults aged 18+
• Interviews were conducted by telephone on 30-31 March 2001
• 734 were conducted on 30 March, 300 on 31 March 2001
• Results are based on all respondents unless otherwise stated
• Data are weighted to the known population profile
• An '*' indicates a finding of less than 0.5%, but greater than zero
• Where percentages do not add up to exactly 100% this may be due to computer rounding, the exclusion of "don't knows" or to multiple answers
• Poll conducted by MORI on behalf of The Sunday Telegraph

QV1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? [If undecided or refused at Q1] QV2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Conservative	32%
Labour	48%
Liberal Democrats	15%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	3%
Green Party	1%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party	*%
Other	1%
Would not vote	10%
Undecided	9%
Refused	4%

Satisfaction Ratings over the last 12 months & Long Term Trends

Q3a Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election, if it is held on May 3? Q3b And can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election, if it is held on June 7 or 14? Q3c Can you tell me how likely you are to get along to vote in the General Election, if it is held in October?

	May 3	June 7 or 14	October
	%	%	%
Certain to vote	50	49	51
Very likely to vote	16	17	18
Quite likely to vote	12	13	12
Not very likely to vote	8	8	7
Certain not to vote	11	11	10
Don't know	2	2	3

Q4 Have you definitely decided to vote for the ... party or is there a chance you may change your mind before you vote? Base: All naming a party (792)

Definitely decided	63%
May change mind	34%
Don't know	2%

Q5 If you do change your mind about voting for the ... party, which party would you vote for instead? Base: All who may change mind (267)

Conservative	15%
Labour	21%
Liberal Democrats	25%
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	3%
Green Party	1%
Democratic/UKIP/Referendum Party	1%
Other	4%
None	8%
Refused	23%

Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?

Satisfied	41%
Dissatisfied	50%
Don't know	10%
Net satisfied	-9%

Q7 Overall, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Labour Government is handling the Foot and Mouth outbreak?

Satisfied	34%
Dissatisfied	54%
Don't know	12%
Net satisfied	-20%

Bearing in mind the Foot and Mouth outbreak...

Q8 ..do you think the Government should hold the local elections on May 3rd as planned, or postpone them till a later date?

Should hold on May 3rd	32%
Should postpone till later date	60%
Don't know	8%
Net should hold	-28%

Q9 ..do you think the Government should hold the General Election on May 3rd as planned, or postpone them till a later date?

Should hold on May 3rd	29%
Should postpone till later date	63%
Don't know	8%
Net should hold	-34%

Q10 If the Government decides to hold the General Election on May 3rd, would you be more or less likely to vote Labour, or would it make no difference?

More likely	2%
Less likely	13%
Make no difference	82%
Don't know	3%
Net more likely	-11%

Q11 Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with the following statement... The Prime Minister will be unable to deal properly with the foot and mouth outbreak if there is a General Election going on at the same time.

Agree	58%
Disagree	36%
Don't know	5%
Net satisfied	+22%

Q12 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?

Improve	13%
Stay the same	29%
Get worse	47%
Don't know	11%
MORI Economic Optimism Index (EOI) (net improve)	-34%

Q13 Would you describe each of the following politicians as trustworthy or not...?

	Tony Blair, the Prime Minister	William Hague, the Conservative leader
	%	%
Would describe as trustworthy	53	36
Would not describe as trustworthy	38	51
Don't know	8	13
Net satisfied	+15	-15

Q14 Do you think that the Prime Minister, Tony Blair, is or is not in touch with what ordinary people think? Q15 Do you think that the Conservative leader, William Hague, is or is not in touch with what ordinary people think?

	Tony Blair, the Prime Minister	William Hague, the Conservative leader
	%	%
Is in touch	47	36
Is not in touch	47	54
Don't know	6	10
Net in touch	0	-18

Q16 Which one of these best describes the area where you live most of the time?

1 In the middle of a city or town	30%
2 In a suburb	32%
3 On the edge of the countryside	25%
4 In the middle of the countryside	13%
Urban (1 + 2)	62%
Rural (3 + 4	38%