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General Election 2001 : Grey Votes
Older voters play a crucial role in the result of any British General Election. Not only are there a good many of them, but they are more likely to vote than younger voters — becoming of increasing significance as turnouts fall. Furthermore, of course, their election agenda is in many respects distinctive, forcing those who hope for their votes to give them separate consideration.
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General Election 2001 - Election Commentary: Grey Votes
Older voters play a crucial role in the result of any British General Election. Not only are there a good many of them, but they are more likely to vote than younger voters — becoming of increasing significance as turnouts fall. Furthermore, of course, their election agenda is in many respects distinctive, forcing those who hope for their votes to give them separate consideration.
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General Election 2001 - Election Digest
Latest ICM/Guardian Findings
Gallup/BES Rolling Poll Projects To Labour Doubling Commons Majority
Attitudes Towards Parties' Election Strategies -
Issues That Bite
ICM reports today on a 1000 case telephone poll carried out on 19-21 May, which finds a 1997-like 45% Labour, 32% Tory, 17% Liberal Democrat result, which if projected to seats in the House of Commons would deliver Labour of the order of 177 seats, before adjusting for regional swing and turnout, although ICM does report on those they think most likely to vote.
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Keen To Be Green But ... - Press Release
Survey of British attitudes towards climate change and environmentally friendly behaviour.
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Keen To Be Green But ... Toplines
Survey of British attitudes to climate change and environmentally friendly behaviour
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Gallup Says Labour By 30!
Since the beginning of the election the British Election Study Gallup poll has been asking c. 150 people each day a number of questions relating to the election, including how people intended to vote, their certainty of voting, interest in the election, issues of importance, liking and disliking of political leaders, etc. Up until Friday, I had not read about it nor had been aware of its design.
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Voter Turnout - Postal Vote Not Likely To Reverse Trend
Postal voting will not have an appreciable effect on voter turnout at the next General Election, according to a MORI survey commissioned by the Institute for Citizenship. The survey shows that awareness of how to obtain a postal vote has no effect on those saying they are certain or very likely to vote at the next General Election.
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Reading The Polls
The British pollsters for some years have followed the Gallup method of determining voting intention, asking a two part question, "How do you intend to vote in the General Election on 7th June?", and leaving aside those who say at that point they would not vote, asking the remainder, usually about 90%, "Which party are you most inclined to support?" (asked of those who say they are undecided or refuse to say for which party they would vote for). As a frame of reference, figures of 30% undecided, 10% would not vote and 3% refused would not be unusual at the first question, and when asked the second, the undecideds drop to 10% and the refusals to 2%.
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More Bad News For The Tories
More bad news for the Conservatives in the latest polls. NOP is the only major polling company reported in papers today — as both the Observer (ICM) and the Sunday Telegraph (MORI) take a break in mid-campaign from spending the money to find out that the Labour Party is still flat-lining in the polls.