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Voters Rate Tory Leader's Performance As Worse Than Kinnock's
Michael Howard is struggling to make his mark with the electorate. But failing, so far, to engage floating voters. The election is likely to be called next April, just nine months away, for a 5th May election day.
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MORI Political Monitor June - Topline Results
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 2,107 adults aged 18+ at 203 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 24-29 June 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
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MORI Political Monitor
MORI's latest Political Monitor, conducted between 24 and 29 June 2004, shows that the public remain dissatisfied with the performance of Tony Blair as Prime Minister, but this is not translating into support for either Michael Howard or the Conservative Party. While, by a margin of around two to one, the public are dissatisfied with the way Tony Blair is doing his job (61% to 30%), Labour retain a lead of 3 points over the Conservatives. At the same time, there has been a sharp rise in dissatisfaction with Michael Howard as leader of the Opposition. In November 2003, MORI's first poll undertaken after the Conservative leadership election showed that 26% of the public were satisfied with Michael Howard and 17% dissatisfied — the majority giving "don't know" (57%). The latest survey shows that still 26% of people say they are satisfied with Michael Howard, but 38% are dissatisfied as the number of people not expressing an opinion decreases.
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A Question of Identity?
Eight in 10 (80%) of the adult British population say they are in favour of ID cards, and slightly more (83%) say they would be happy to carry the card at all times — according to a MORI survey carried out for specialist IT consultancy Detica [note 1].
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MORI Political Monitor
MORI's latest Political Monitor results show that Labour (35%) retain a small lead over the Conservatives (34%) in terms of voting intentions at an immediate General Election, among those who say they are "absolutely certain to vote". In the run-up to the local, Mayoral and European elections on June 10th, the main issues seen to be facing Britain are Defence/foreign affairs (47%), NHS (34%) and race relations/immigration (30%). Europe is mentioned by 17% of the public (in 7th place). In contrast, during the last European Parliament elections in June 1999, Europe was then seen by the public as the most important issue facing the country (mentioned by 37% of the public), followed by NHS (35%) and education (29%).
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MORI Political Monitor - Topline Results
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,863 adults aged 18+ at 192 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 27 May-1 June 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
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New Labour And Delivery
Received political wisdom is that modern governments, especially the present British government, are and will be judged by the public on whether they have "delivered". So "Has New Labour delivered?" will, it is suggested, be the key question on which the outcome of the next general election may turn (assuming, of course, that the opposition has regained a sufficient degree of political credibility for anybody to take them seriously as an alternative). Sir Robert Worcester analyses.
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One Year To Go!
One year to go until the next General Election. May 5, 2005, is my odds-on bet for the date of the next election, which given the rules, it is likely to be called on Thursday, 7 April. There are two other anniversaries that have been celebrated (?) in the past few days: Tony Blair's 7th year in office, and the invasion of Iraq a year ago.
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MORI Political Monitor - Analysis
MORI's latest Political Monitor finds, for the fourth successive month, very little difference between Labour and the Conservatives. Labour has regained a slight lead, but the general picture is one of stability. By a two to one margin, the public remain critical of the way Tony Blair is doing his job. This has not translated into higher levels of satisfaction with Michael Howard; his satisfaction rating now stands at -2, the lowest this year.
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MORI Political Monitor April - Topline Results
MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,947 adults aged 18+ at 196 sampling points across Great Britain. Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 15-19 April 2004. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.