SNP increases lead in voting intention for Scottish Parliament
In the latest Ipsos Scotland poll for STV News, Ipsos found that the SNP party has a strong lead over Labour in voting intentions for Holyrood. Among those who told us that they would be ‘certain’ to vote in an immediate Scottish Parliament election, 57% say they would cast their constituency vote for the SNP, while 23% would back Scottish Labour, 8% would vote for the Scottish Conservatives and 6% for the Scottish Liberal Democrats. This gives the SNP a 34-point lead over Labour.
In terms of the party list vote for the Scottish Parliament, among those certain to vote, 50% would back the SNP while 23% would back Scottish Labour, 10% the Scottish Greens, 8% the Scottish Conservatives and 6% the Scottish Liberal Democrats.
‘These findings chime with voting intentions for the Westminster parliament and confirm the strong position that the SNP is currently in. The figures represent both a high point for the SNP and a low point for Scottish Labour in terms of polls we have undertaken. It also underlines the tough challenge faced by Labour’s new Scottish leader in the months ahead in winning back some of the lost ground.’
Technical details:
- This presents the topline results from Scotland
- Results are based on a survey of 1,026 respondents (adults aged 18+) conducted by telephone
- Fieldwork dates: 22nd October to 29th October 2014
- Data are weighted by: age, sex and working status using census data; tenure using Scottish Household Survey data; and public-private sector employment using Scottish Government Quarterly Public Sector Employment series data
- Where results do not sum to 100%, this may be due to computer rounding, multiple responses, or the exclusion of “don’t know” categories
- Results are based on all respondents (1,026) unless otherwise stated
