There's a change in the 'certain to vote' demographic - and it favours Labour

Three in ten (31%) say their local area is housing more than its fair share of asylum seekers, doubling to 61% of Reform UK voters. The public is divided on the acceptability of protesting outside hotels housing asylum seekers (36% acceptable vs. 39% unacceptable).

One in five (20%) British adults would consider voting for a new left-wing party founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana. The party's appeal is strongest among young people, with one-third (33%) of 16-34s considering it, alongside a third of 2024 Labour voters (33%) and 43% of 2024 Green Party voters.