New polling data, conducted 15-22nd October 2026, shows Labour taking a 8-point lead over their nearest rival. This time that is the Conservatives rather than Reform UK.
Satisfaction with the performance of Tony Blair as prime minister has hit new lows over the past two months, the latest Ipsos poll has found. The prime minister's performance rating is now barely a third of what it was immediately following his landslide election in 1997.
On Saturday 9 September 2006, Dr Roger Mortimore (Ipsos's Senior Political Analyst) spoke at the EPOP Conference in Nottingham*, on "Ethnic Minority Voters and Non-Voters at the 2005 British General Election", delivering a paper by himself and Kully Kaur-Ballagan (Ipsos Head of Ethnic Minority Research). The paper, which draws on Ipsos research conducted for the Electoral Commission after last year's election, explores the turnout and votes of Britain's various Black and minority ethnic (BME) communities. Turnout is strongly associated with a positive attitude to elections in general, as might be expected; but there is also some evidence of a strong community effect, with those who live in areas with many other BME residents disproportionately likely to have voted. Surprisingly, there is no evidence that attitudes to the government's policy in Iraq had any significant effect. The findings also illustrate how a high quality research design, including respondents from...
Two thirds of the British public (64%) believe that it is fair to say that Tony Blair is "all spin, but no substance" according to Ipsos's latest political poll exclusively for The Sunday Times. Just 28% of the public say that this criticism is unfair, giving a "spin over substance" index of +36. The public is divided about whether this accusation can be applied to Gordon Brown: 41% say it can and 45% say it cannot (an index of -4). A large proportion of the public have yet to decide about David Cameron, but where people do give an opinion they are more likely to say he is all spin, but no substance. Cameron's spin index is +11 (with 42% saying he is all spin and 31% saying he is not). Opinion about the leader of the Liberal Democrats, Sir Menzies Campbell, divides three ways: 28 % agree he is all spin, but no substance; 36 % say he is not; and 36% say they don't know. This gives Campbell an index score of -8.
Some commentators have noted in recent months that Ipsos's voting intention figures are "more volatile" than those of the other companies, which in one sense is true; but they have also assumed that this implies they are less accurate, which is not necessarily the case, and some of them have clearly not understood why our figures sometimes move more dramatically than those in other polls.
The two key findings from this month's Political Monitor survey provide grim reading for both the Prime Minister and Leader of the Opposition — Tony Blair's personal satisfaction ratings have fallen to the lowest levels of his premiership and, for the first time, more of the public is dissatisfied than satisfied with the performance of David Cameron.
Ipsos was commissioned to conduct the first corporate level survey of stakeholders who engage with Welsh Assembly Government officials. The survey sought to assess the current level and quality of engagement between officials in Assembly Government departments and their stakeholders. While the overall results were positive, key areas for improvement were identified.
Since the 2005 General Election, there has been a dearth of information published on voting intentions in Scotland, with only one published poll in April 2006. This article details the pattern of stated voting intentions in Scotland measured in Ipsos's Social Policy Monitor survey in 2005 and the first half of 2006. This survey is a face-to-face in-home 'omnibus' survey that uses random pre-selected sampling rather than quota sampling, and is therefore a unique source of polling data for Scotland.
Ipsos's latest research, conducted for the English Constitutional Convention, shows that there is increasing public support for England to have its own Parliament.