Washington, DC, November 18, 2020 – In the latest public opinion poll from Reuters/Ipsos, three-fourths of Americans (73%) believe that Joe Biden has won the presidential election based on what they know or have heard. Five percent believe Donald Trump has won and another 18% believe the election has not yet been called. When asked who has rightfully won the election, 63% of Americans believe Joe Biden has, including 95% of Democrats, 29% of Republicans, and 60% of independents. Fifty-four percent of Americans say that Joe Biden is acting responsibly by claiming victory compared to just 31% who say he is acting irresponsibly. However, only 20% of Americans agree that Donald Trump, who has also claimed victory, is acting responsibly in doing so. Seven out of ten (69%) think he is acting irresponsibly. A majority of Americans believe that Donald Trump claiming victory early is bad for this country’s democracy (55%), only 28% feel the same about Joe Biden’s claim. Sixty percent approve of how Joe Biden is handling his job as President-elect while 37% approve of Donald Trump’s handling of the presidency. A majority of Americans disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the transition process to the Biden administration (60%) with most of those strongly disapproving (42%).
Overall, most Americans believe the election was legitimate and accurate (55%). Democrats (86%) are far more likely to hold this belief than Republicans (26%) or independents (49%). On the other hand, Republicans are much more likely to believe the results of the election were fraudulent due to illegal voting or election rigging (59%) compared to just 6% of Democrats and 20% of independents. When asked how the outcome of the election, which has consistently been called for Joe Biden, makes people feel, Democrats report positive emotions such as hopeful (30%), relieved (28%), and happy (18%). Republican responses trend negative: worried (39%), angry (15%), and indifferent (11%). Independents seem to sympathize with both sides feeling indifferent (26%), hopeful (19%), and worried (16%).
As legal challenges from the Trump campaign are ongoing, Americans unanimously agree that all ballots need to be counted, regardless of who was declared winner (87%). Three out of five (61%) trust the electoral college to reflect the will of the American people, backed by bipartisan support.
About the Study
These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between November 13-17, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,346 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 598 Democrats, 496 Republicans and 149 independents. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval ± 4.6 percentage points for Democrats, ± 5.0 percentage points for Republicans, and ± 9.2 percentage points for independents.
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