Latinos lean Democratic on climate change, safety as midterms draw closer

Washington, DC, August 6, 2022 ––

A new Axios/Ipsos poll of Latino American adults explores their position on three key policy items ahead of the 2022 midterm elections: climate change, police reform, and immigration. The poll finds that while a majority of Latino Americans’ preferences generally align with Democratic-leaning positions on issues around climate change and crime/policing, views are more evenly split on immigration and how open our borders should be.

A narrow majority believe it is more important to help immigrants escape poverty and violence in their home countries and find success here (51%) than it is to secure America’s borders and help American citizens (43%). Of the three forced choice statements, this is the one that comes closest to an even split. On all three issues, partisanship plays a significant role, with 40 percentage point gaps (or more) between Democrats and Republicans on the issue. However, with immigration, one’s generation and country of heritage play a role. For example, this preference to help immigrants escape poverty and violence in their own countries is most strongly felt by those of Central American descent and first-generation Latinos. Perceptions among second-generation or third-generation Latinos are more split, with fewer than half believing it is more important to help immigrants escape poverty and violence than to secure America’s borders.

Read more about this here.

About the Study

The Axios/Ipsos U.S. Latino Survey July Pulse 2022 was conducted July 21^th through July 28^th, 2022 by Ipsos using our KnowledgePanel®. This poll is based on a nationally representative probability sample of 1,012 Latino/Hispanic adults age 18 or older in the United States.

The survey was conducted using KnowledgePanel, the largest and most well-established online probability-based panel that is representative of the adult US population. Our recruitment process employs an addressed-based sampling methodology using the latest Delivery Sequence File of the USPS – a database with full coverage of all delivery points in the US. Households invited to join the panel are randomly selected from all available households in the U.S. Persons in the sampled households are invited to join and participate in the panel. Those selected who do not already have internet access are provided a tablet and internet connection at no cost to the panel member. Those who join the panel and who are selected to participate in a survey are sent a unique password-protected log-in used to complete surveys online. As a result of our recruitment and sampling methodologies, samples from KnowledgePanel cover all households regardless of their phone or internet status and findings can be reported with a margin of sampling error and projected to the general population.

The study was conducted in both English and Spanish. The data were weighted to adjust for gender by age, education, language proficiency, Latino/Hispanic origin, household income, Census region, metropolitan status, and 2020 vote choice. Demographic benchmarks, among Latino/Hispanic adults age 18+, came from the 2021 Current Population Survey (CPS) with language proficiency from the 2019 American Community Survey (ACS). Benchmarks for 2020 Vote choice among the US Latino/Hispanic population came from Census pot-election survey and Pew 2021 validate voter survey. The weighting variables and categories were as follows:

• Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18–29, 30–44, 45–59, and 60+)
• Education (Less than High School grad, High School grad, Some College/Tech/Associate’s degree, Bachelor’s degree or higher)
• Language Proficiency (English proficient, Bilingual, Spanish proficient)
• Latino/Hispanic origin (Mexican, Puerto Rican, Cuban, Central American, Other)
• Household Income (Under $50,000, $50,000-$99,999, $100,000+)
• Census Region (Northeast, Midwest, South, West)
• Metropolitan status (Metro, non-Metro)
• 2020 Vote choice (Trump, Biden, Other/Did not vote)

The margin of sampling error is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of Latino/Hispanic adults. The margin of sampling error takes into account the design effect, which was 1.53. The margin of sampling error is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total substantially more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is the world’s third largest Insights and Analytics company, present in 90 markets and employing more than 18,000 people.

Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.

Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos is listed on the Euronext Paris since July 1st, 1999. The company is part of the SBF 120 and the Mid-60 index and is eligible for the Deferred Settlement Service (SRD).

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