Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (08/01/2018)

Democrats continue to lead the generic congressional ballot. President Trump's approval rating remains unchanged.

Reuters/Ipsos Data: Core Political (08/01/2018)

The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, D.C. – President Trump’s approval rating remains stable this week with 44% of registered voters and 40% of all Americans approving of his job performance. Just one in ten Democrats (12%) approve of Trump’s job performance, while Independents (39%) and Republicans (83%) are more generous in their assessments.

Registered voters continue to report they are more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate (42%) than a Republican candidate (36%) if the election for Congress were held today. Republicans (81%) and Democrats (85%) report they would remain loyal to their current respective parties, but Independents continue to be split between Democrats (20%), Republicans (19%) and a third party (17%). One-third of Independents (35%) report that they do not know which party they would vote for if the election were held today.

Americans remain divided on the most important issue facing the country today, with healthcare (18%) and immigration (15%) remaining the top two most important issues.  Democrats and Republicans continue to disagree on the most important issue, with Democrats reporting it to be healthcare (23%), while Republicans believe it is immigration (26%).  Independents remain split between immigration (16%) and healthcare (17%).

In this week's Reuters/Ipsos Wh'Exit Poll, Americans continue to be uncertain about which member of the administration will be next to resign or be terminated. While Attorney General Jeff Sessions (14%) continues to be seen as the most likely cabinet member to leave the White House, Press Secretary Sarah Sanders (10%) and Chief of Staff, John F. Kelly (9%) are not too far behind the Attorney General. Betsy DeVos, Secretary of Education (8%), and Senior Adviser Jared Kushner (8%) are tied for fourth place. Other members of the cabinet are seen as relatively safe this week.

About this Study

These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted for Thomson Reuters July 27-July 31, 2018. For the survey, a sample of 1,901 Americans, including 1,571 registered voters, 684 Democrats, 616 Republicans, and 198 Independents ages 18+ were interviewed online. The precision of the Reuters/Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.6 percentage points for all adults, 2.8 percentage points for registered voters, 4.3 percentage points for Democrats, 4.5 percentage points for Republicans, and 7.9 percentage points for Independents. For more information about credibility intervals, please see the appendix.

The data were weighted to the U.S. current population data by gender, age, education, and ethnicity. Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Figures marked by an asterisk (*) indicate a percentage value of greater than zero but less than one half of one per cent. Where figures do not sum to 100, this is due to the effects of rounding. To see more information on this and other Reuters/Ipsos polls, please visit http://polling.reuters.com/.

For more information on this news release please contact:

Clifford Young
President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2016
clifford.young@ipsos.com

Chris Jackson
Vice President, U.S.
Ipsos Public Affairs
202.420.2011
chris.jackson@ipsos.com

About Ipsos Public Affairs

Ipsos Public Affairs is a non-partisan, objective, survey-based research practice made up of seasoned professionals. We conduct strategic research initiatives for a diverse number of American and international organizations, based not only on public opinion research, but elite stakeholder, corporate, and media opinion research.

Ipsos has media partnerships with the most prestigious news organizations around the world. In Canada, the U.S., UK, and internationally, Ipsos Public Affairs is the media polling supplier to Reuters News, the world's leading source of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Ipsos Public Affairs is a member of the Ipsos Group, a leading global survey-based market research company. We provide boutique-style customer service and work closely with our clients, while also undertaking global research.

About Ipsos

Ipsos is an independent market research company controlled and managed by research professionals. Founded in France in 1975, Ipsos has grown into a worldwide research group with a strong presence in all key markets. Ipsos ranks fourth in the global research industry.

With offices in 89 countries, Ipsos delivers insightful expertise across five research specializations: brand, advertising and media; customer loyalty; marketing; public affairs research; and survey management.

Ipsos researchers assess market potential and interpret market trends. They develop and build brands. They help clients build long-term relationships with their customers. They test advertising and study audience responses to various media and they measure public opinion around the globe.

Ipsos has been listed on the Paris Stock Exchange since 1999 and generated global revenues of €1,780.5 million in 2017.

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The author(s)

  • Clifford Young President, US, Public Affairs
  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs

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