Reuters/Ipsos Survey: 2020 Democratic Primary Tracker (03/03/2020)

Sanders continues to lead in the race for the Democratic nomination, Biden and Bloomberg fight for second place.

The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs
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Washington, DC, March 3, 2020 — In the Reuters/Ipsos Democratic primary tracker conducted between February 28 and March 2, 2020, Senator Bernie Sanders continues to lead the field with 29% of the vote share among Democratic registered voters, unchanged from last week. Coming off his first win in the South Carolina primary, former Vice President Joe Biden is supported by 18% of Democratic registered voters. Former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg will be on the ballot for the first time today – Super Tuesday – as a candidate for the nomination. Bloomberg receives 15% of the vote share among Democratic registered voters. Approximately 10% of Democratic registered voters say they support Senator Elizabeth Warren for the nomination. Former Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Senator Amy Klobuchar, and businessman Tom Steyer, who ended their campaigns following the South Carolina primary on Saturday, received a combined 16% of the vote share in our poll.

Electability remains the most important factor for Democratic primary voters, with 49% reporting that beating President Trump in the general election is the most important factor when deciding who to vote for. Strong platforms on the economy and jobs (11%) and healthcare (10%) are also important factors. Among Democratic registered voters, Sanders is seen as the most likely to beat Trump in November (28%), followed by Biden (21%) and Bloomberg (20%). Sanders is also seen as the strongest on the economy and jobs (27%), followed by Bloomberg (24%), and Biden (16%). When it comes to healthcare, Sanders (36%) is seen as having the best policies. Biden (16%) is in a distant second place.

About the Study

These are some of the findings of an Ipsos poll conducted between February 28 and March 2, 2020 on behalf of Thomson Reuters. For this survey, a sample of 1,114 Americans age 18+ from the continental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii were interviewed online in English. The sample includes 934 registered voters, 469 Democratic registered voters, 334 Republican registered voters, and 96 independent registered voters. Weighting was then employed to balance demographics to ensure that the sample's composition reflects that of the adult population according to Census data and to provide results intended to approximate the sample universe. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. In this case, the poll is accurate to within ± 3.3 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, had all Americans been polled. The credibility interval will be wider among subsets of the population. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to other sources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error, and measurement error. The poll also has a credibility interval ± 3.7 percentage points for registered voters, ± 5.2 percentage points for Democratic registered voters, ± 6.1 percentage points for Republican registered voters, and ± 11.4 percentage points for independent registered voters.

 

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Vice President, US
Public Affairs
+1 202 420-2025
Chris.Jackson@ipsos.com

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations, US
Public Affairs
+1 718 755-8829
Kate.Silverstein@ipsos.com

About Ipsos

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Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.

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ISIN code FR0000073298, Reuters ISOS.PA, Bloomberg IPS:FP

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The author(s)

  • Chris Jackson Vice President, US, Public Affairs
  • Annaleise Azevedo Lohr Senior Account Manager, US, Public Affairs

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