Yang holds a small lead in NYC mayoral primary, far from taking a majority

Washington, DC, April 23, 2021 — Two months before the Democratic mayoral primary in New York City, Andrew Yang is the top vote-getter – but far from the needed 50% +1 majority, according to a new Spectrum News NY1/Ipsos poll. Yang is the first choice candidate for just over one in five likely Democratic primary voters, followed by Eric Adams and Scott Stringer. However, a quarter of likely voters remain undecided. The poll also reveals low levels of familiarity for the candidates in the race, and uncertainty around the ranked-choice voting system.

Follow the links below to see more from Spectrum News NY1:

• Andrew Yang leads Democrats in Spectrum News NY1/Ipsos poll on mayor's race
• Corey Johnson leads Dems running for city comptroller – but half of voters undecided
• NY1/Ipsos poll finds 1 in 4 New Yorkers are unsure of, or have no plans to get, COVID-19 vaccine
• COVID-19, crime at top of Democratic voters’ minds in NY1/Ipsos poll
• Voters coming around to the idea of ranked-choice voting, NY1/Ipsos poll finds
• New Yorkers split on city's future, NY1/Ipsos poll finds

About the Study

This Spectrum News NY1/Ipsos NYC mayoral primary poll was conducted April 1 to April 15th, 2021, by Ipsos using the KnowledgePanel®, supplemented by the SSRS Probability Panel, the Ipsos opt-in iSay panel and panel partners. This poll is based on a representative sample of 3,459 residents of the 5 New York City boroughs age 18 or older. 522 completes came from Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel®, 133 from SSRS and 2,804 from opt-in sample.

The study was conducted in both English and Spanish. The data were weighted to adjust for gender by age, race/ethnicity, education, NYC borough/county, and household income. The demographic benchmarks came from 2014-2018 American Community Survey (ACS) 5-year file from the US Census Bureau. Additional adjustments were included for the sample that supplemented KnowledgePanel to reduce biases known to be associated with non-probability sample, including amount of television watching, time spent on the internet, frequency of expressing political opinions online, and likelihood of being an early adopter of new products and technology. Benchmarks for these additional weighting variables were from the weighted KnowledgePanel sample. The weighting categories were as follows:

• Gender (Male, Female) by Age (18–29, 30–44, 45–59, and 60+)
• Race/Hispanic Ethnicity (White Non-Hispanic, Black Non-Hispanic, Other or 2+ Races Non-Hispanic, and Hispanic)
• Education (High School graduate or less, Some College, Bachelor and beyond)
• Household Income (Under $25,000, $25,000-$49,999, $50,000-$74,999, $75,000-$99,999, $100,000-$149,999, $150,000+)
• FIPS Code/County (Bronx, Kings, New York, Queens, Richmond)
• Language dominance (English Dominant Hispanic, Bilingual or Spanish Dominant Hispanic, Non-Hispanic)
• Amount of television watching (less than 3 hours per day or 3 or more hours per day)
• Time spent online for personal use (Less than 10 hours per week or 10 or more hours per week)
• Frequency of posting pollical opinions online (Never or less than once a month or more often)
• Being first among friends to try new products (Not at all/Somewhat and A lot/Completely)

The credibility interval, a measure of precision used for Ipsos’ online polls, for the entire sample is plus or minus 2.5 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample of adults. Among likely voters, the credibility interval is plus or minus 4.7 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. The credibility interval takes into account the design effect, which was 2.33 for all adults and 2.33 among likely voters. The credibility interval is higher and varies for results based on sub-samples. In our reporting of the findings, percentage points are rounded off to the nearest whole number. As a result, percentages in a given table column may total slightly higher or lower than 100%. In questions that permit multiple responses, columns may total substantially more than 100%, depending on the number of different responses offered by each respondent.

For more information on this news release, please contact:

Chris Jackson
Senior Vice President, U.S., Public Affairs
Ipsos
+1 202 420 2025
[email protected]

Mallory Newall
Director, U.S., Public Affairs
Ipsos
+1 202 420 2014
[email protected]

Kate Silverstein
Media Relations Specialist, U.S., Public Affairs
Ipsos
+1 718 755-8829
[email protected]

About Ipsos

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Our passionately curious research professionals, analysts and scientists have built unique multi-specialist capabilities that provide true understanding and powerful insights into the actions, opinions and motivations of citizens, consumers, patients, customers or employees. We serve more than 5000 clients across the world with 75 business solutions.

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