SATISFACTION WITH POLITICAL LEADERSHIP IN WASHINGTON LEADS TO STRONG MAJORITY SUPPORT FOR RE-ELECTING BUSH PRESIDENT IF THE ELECTION WERE TODAY
A strong majority (56%) of adults say they would definitely vote to reelect George W. Bush as President if the election were today, while 24% would consider voting for someone else and only 16% would definitely vote for someone else.
"The divisions that marked the American electorate in the 2000 Presidential contest, the closest in American history, have largely disappeared in the wave of good feeling washing over the electorate," reports Thomas Riehle, President of Ipsos-Reid US Public Affairs.
- There is no gender gap--54% of women and 57% of men would vote to reelect Bush
- There is little class difference--54% of the highest income Americans and 54% of the lowest income Americans would vote to reelect Bush. In fact, Americans with less than a four-year college degree (a Democratic-leaning demographic group) are more likely than those with a college degree or more to support Bush's reelection.
- There is no age difference--59% of those age 55 and older, and 54% of those age 18-34 agree they would vote to reelect Bush.
- The wide racial gap of 2000 is narrowing--59% of whites and 40% of non-whites would support Bush's reelection without question.
- Overall, 84% of Republicans, 46% if Independents and 25% of Democrats say they would definitely vote to reelect Bush if the election were today.
The West is out of step with the rest of the country, with 46% of Western Americans favoring reelection and 22% saying they would definitely vote for someone else (30% of Westerners would consider voting for someone else).
Also, the marriage gap does persist, with 62% of married people but only 48% of unmarried people definitely ready to reelect Bush.
POSITIVE FEELINGS FOR PRESIDENT BUSH AND JOB PERFORMANCE RATINGS OF PRESIDENT BUSH, BUSH ADMINISTRATION AND CONGRESS ARE STRONG
Americans express overwhelmingly warm positive feelings about Bush, with 53% rating their feelings a 6 or 7 on a 1-to-7 scale where 7 is the warmest, most positive feelings. Only 14% rate their feelings a 1 or 2.
Americans strongly endorse Bush's job performance, with 86% saying they approve and only 12% disapproving.
Approval of Bush's job performance extends to his administration, including positive job ratings for Attorney General John Ashcroft (76% approve and 15% disapprove) and Homeland Security Office director Tom Ridge (66% approve, 15% disapprove, 20% not sure). Even Congress continues to get positive job ratings (73% approve, 24% disapprove).
"This remains a period for small adjustments, not for change in Washington," Riehle reports. "While only 19% totally endorse everything going on in Washington today, saying they would like to continue government policies in the same general direction they are going now, only 20% want to change the direction of Washington policy. Most (55%) would keep most policies the same but change some."
Thomas Riehle, President Ipsos-Reid U.S. Public Affairs