2016 US Elections - The Race For The White House Is Essentially Tied (September 14)

Hillary Clinton’s no-good-very-bad week just keeps going. The American public now view both Clinton and Donald Trump equally distastefully leading the national horse race to be tied and very high undecided levels less than two months out. If Clinton is unable to rebound and rehabilitate her image with voters, we are looking at a very close Election Day.

14 September 2016

The author(s)

Chris Jackson Senior Vice President, Public Affairs, US
Clifford Young President, Public Affairs, USA
Julia Clark Marketing & Communications Director, NA

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General Election Matchup

The race for the White House is essentially tied less than two months out from Election Day. Among likely voters, Hillary Clinton leads by 1 points (40% Clinton to 39% Donald Trump), down from a 2 point lead last week.

20% of likely voters say they plan to vote for someone else, not vote for president or don’t know. This is about double the level seen in 2012.
Clinton and Trump are tied among likely voters on the 4-way ballot (Clinton 39%; Trump 39%; Johnson 8%; and Stein 2%) and among registered voters Clinton leads by 4 points (Clinton 40%; Trump 36%; Johnson 8%; and Stein 3%).

For the first time since just before the conventions, Clinton and Trump are viewed equally poorly by the American public. Clinton’s favorability score of 44% is statistically tied with Trump’s 43%.

Other trends

With just less than one-fifth of Americans ranking the economy as their main concern on the list of problems facing America, terrorism takes second place with 15%.

President Barack’s Obama approval rating among all-Americans increased one point from last week to 48%.

In our generic congressional ballot question, Democrats hold a small 2 percentage point lead among likely voters.