Davos, January 23, 2020 — Just 35% of workers across 28 countries anticipate that their job will be automated in the next 10 years, according to a new Ipsos' survey on behalf of the World Economic Forum. In contrast, more than half of employed adults (54%) say it is unlikely to happen. The other 11% are not sure.
Globally, 69% of workers surveyed are confident they have the skills needed so their job continues to exist in the future: 29% are very confident and 40% are somewhat confident. Only one quarter (24%) are not confident while 7% are unsure.
Paradoxically, business owners (47%), decision-makers (45%) and workers with a higher level of education (36%) are more likely to expect their job to be automated than are those who are not business owners (30%), not decision-makers (29%), or do not have a higher education (32%). Nevertheless, business owners (77%), decision-makers (78%) and those with a higher level of education (76%) are even more likely to be confident that they have the skills needed for their job to survive automation than are workers who are not business owners (67%), not decision-makers (66%), and do not have a higher level of education (66%).
With few exceptions, employed adults in emerging markets are far more likely to expect their job to be automated than are those from advanced economies.
- Countries where workers are most likely to anticipate that their job will be automated in the next decade are: India (71%), Saudi Arabia (56%), China (55%), Brazil (51%), and Mexico (50%).
- In contrast, in five European countries fewer than one in five workers surveyed say it is likely: Germany (14%), Hungary (14%), The Netherlands (16%), Great Britain (17%). and France (19%).
Confidence in having the skills needed so one’s job continues to exist in the future tends to be higher than average in emerging markets generally, as well as in North America and Northern Europe while it tends to be lower in Northeast Asia, Eastern Europe, and Southern Europe.
- It is highest in: India (84%), The Netherlands (83%), The United States (82%), Turkey (81%), Mexico (81%) and South Africa (80%).
- It is significantly lower in: Japan (23%), South Korea (33%), Russia (51%) and Poland (51%).