Two in three disagree that government has the right long-term policies for public services – highest since 2001
Public wants to protect the NHS; overseas aid top candidate for cuts
With less than a week to go until the next Autumn Statement new Ipsos MORI polling shows growing public concern about the government’s plans for public services. Our latest Political Monitor shows two in three (67%) Britons disagree the government’s policies will improve the state of Britain’s public services, up from 60% before the election and at its highest level since 2001.
Overall, one in three (34%) surveyed say that it is still necessary to reduce the deficit through further spending cuts, another one in three (32%) think cuts were necessary in the last parliament but not anymore and 27% think spending cuts were never necessary to begin with.
When it comes to the specific areas targeted by spending cuts one in three (33%) Britons think the Government is making the right decisions on where they should be made, while three in five think they’re making the wrong decisions (59%, up from 38% in October 2010).
When asked what areas should be subjected to spending cuts if more are needed six in ten (59%) Britons mention overseas aid. This is followed by benefit payments (mentioned by 36%), defence (19%) and transport (15%). When asked which areas should be protected from spending cuts the NHS proves most popular, cited by three in four (73%). Schools were the second most mentioned area to be protected (39%) followed by care for the elderly (28%), defence (27%) and the police (23%).
As the public wait to hear the outcome of the Spending Review there’s no sign they’re becoming more optimistic about the economy. Three in ten (31%) think the economy will improve over the next 12 months (down 1 point from October) while two in five (40%) think it will get worse (up 2 points), giving an Ipsos MORI Economic Optimism Index of -9. However the government’s long-term economic plans are still viewed more favourably than its policies for public services. Just under half (48%) think they will improve the economy (down from 53% in March) versus 47% who don’t think they won’t (up from 39%).
Jeremy Corbyn is the only party leader not to experience a decline in his leadership satisfaction ratings from October, although all receive negative ratings overall. Thirty-seven percent say they are satisfied with Mr Corbyn doing his job as Labour party leader (no change from October) and two in five (40%) are dissatisfied (up one point). Two in five (40%) are satisfied with David Cameron doing his job as Prime Minister (down 2 points) while more than half are dissatisfied (55% - up four points). Mr Cameron is still more popular amongst his own supporters than his opponent Jeremy Corbyn is amongst his supporters. Eight in ten (80%) Conservative voters are satisfied with the Prime Minister compared with two in three (65%) Labour voters who support Mr Corbyn. More than three months into his leadership over the Liberal Democrat party the public are still largely undecided on Tim Farron. Eighteen percent say they are satisfied with him doing his job as party leader, 32% dissatisfied and half (50%) unsure. One in three (33%) say they are satisfied with Nigel Farrage as leader of UKIP and 45% are dissatisfied.
The Conservatives maintain a clear lead in voting intentions, similar to their General Election performance. Conservative support stands at 41% this month, with Labour on 34%, Liberal Democrats on 7%, UKIP on 7% and Greens on 4%.
Gideon Skinner, Head of Political Research at Ipsos MORI, said:
“The Conservatives still command the political landscape, but they have a trickier run-up to the Spending Review than for the summer’s Budget, with growing public anxiety about the impact of their decisions on public services. In particular, Britons want to protect the NHS, the apple of their eye, at a time when health bosses are warning of the financial risks facing our healthcare system.”
Technical NoteIpsos MORI interviewed a representative sample of 1,021 adults aged 18+ across Great Britain. Interviews were conducted by telephone 14-17 November 2015. Data are weighted to match the profile of the population.
The facts may have changed on Brexit - but people’s minds have not
Reflecting the national vote in the 2016 referendum, voters in Bedford split almost the same way, with 51.8% voting to leave the EU. Two years on, we joined the BBC Radio 4 Today programme to ask local Bedford residents what they have to say on the matter now.