Ipsos Political Monitor March 2006

Topline Results

• Ipsos interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,928 adults aged 18+ at 195 sampling points across Great Britain.
• Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 16-21 March 2006.
• Data are weighted to match the profile of the population

Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?

(If undecided or refused at Q1)

Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?

Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,155)

	%
Conservative	34
Labour	39
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)	19
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	3
Green Party	3
UK Independence Party	1
Other	1
Lab lead (177%)	+5
Would not vote	1
Undecided	7
Refused	2

Voting -- all

Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?Base: All naming a party (1,494)

	%
Conservative	31
Labour	42
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem)	19
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	3
Green Party	3
UK Independence Party	1
Other	1
Lab lead (177%)	+11
Would not vote	11
Undecided	8
Refused	1

Q3 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government is running the country?Q4 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Blair is doing his job as Prime Minister?Q5 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Mr Cameron is doing his job as leader of the Conservative Party?Q6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way Sir Menzies Campbell is doing his job as leader of the Liberal Democrats?Base: 1,026 British adults 18+

	Satisfied	Dissatisfied	Don't know	Index
	%	%	%	177%
Government (Q3)	27	65	7	-38
Blair (Q4)	31	62	7	-31
Cameron (Q5)	32	19	50	+13
Campbell (Q6)	22	17	62	+5

Q7 Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister -- Gordon Brown, David Cameron or Menzies Campbell?

	%
Gordon Brown	35
David Cameron	26
Menzies Campbell	9
Don't know	30

Q8 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)Q9 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous)Base: 1,026 British adults 18+

	Q7	Q7/8
	%	%
National Health Service/Hospitals	13	37
Race relations/immigration/immigrants	18	30
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism	12	29
Education/schools	7	28
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism	9	26
Pensions/social security	3	13
Economy/economic situation	5	9
Pollution/environment	3	9
Poverty/inequality	3	8
Taxation	2	8
Housing	2	6
Morality/individual behaviour	1	6
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry	2	5
Drug abuse	1	5
Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution	1	3
Local government/council tax	*	3
Public services in general	*	3
Transport/public transport	*	3
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages	1	2
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament	1	2
Petrol prices/fuel	1	2
Countryside/rural life	*	2
Inflation/prices	*	2
Bird flu/Flu pandemic	1	1
AIDS	*	*
Animal welfare	*	*
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods	*	*
Northern Ireland	*	*
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound	*	*
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform	*	*
Privatisation	0	*
Trade unions/strikes	0	*
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis	0	0
Tsunami/South East Asia	0	0
Other	6	14
Don't know	5	4

Q10 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months?Base: 1,026 British adults 18+

	%
Improve	13
Stay the same	44
Get worse	39
Don't know	4
Economic Optimism Index [EOI]	-26

Q11 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?Base: 1,928 British adults 18+

	%
10 -- absolutely certain to vote	60
9	5
8	7
7	4
6	3
5	6
4	1
3	2
2	1
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote	9
Don't know	2
Refused	0

Q12 Which one of these definitions, if any, comes closest to your own political views?Base: 1,026 British adults 18+

	June 2001*	August 2003*	Jan 2005	Apr 2005	Mar 2006
	%	%	%	%	%
New Labour	12	15	16	12	18
Old Labour	29	17	19	23	16
Liberal	11	10	6	7	12
One Nation Tory	9	12	11	9	11
Thatcherite Tory	12	15	12	16	11
Social Democrat	7	7	6	6	6
Nationalist	1	Total to 24	3	3	4
Other	5		2	2	1
None of these	6		15	9	13
Don't know	8		9	11	8

Q13 Which party did you vote for at the General Election on May 5th 2005? If you are not sure or did not vote, please say so.Base: 1,026 British adults 18+

	%
Conservative	21
Labour	32
Liberal Democrat	14
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist	2
UKIP	1
Green	2
Other	1
Did not vote	20
Too young	2
Can't remember	1
Refused	3

Q14 Which one of these statements comes closest to your views on laws about immigration in Britain?Base: 1,897 British adults 18+

	Feb 2003	Apr 2005	March 2006
	%	%	%
Laws on immigration should be abolished so anyone can come and live in Britain	2	2	2
Laws on immigration should be relaxed	4	8	7
Laws on immigration should remain as they are	12	19	16
Laws on immigration should be much tougher	67	58	57
Immigration should be stopped all together	13	11	10
Don't know	3	2	8

Q15 Which one of these statements best describes your behaviour regarding drinking alcohol and driving?Base: 1,928 British adults 18+

	July 2001	March 2006
	%	%
I would never drive after drinking alcohol in any circumstances	46	51
I would drive after drinking alcohol, but only in an emergency	6	5
I would drive after drinking alcohol, but only if I have calculated my alcohol units and know I am under the legal limit	37	14
I would drive after drinking alcohol if I thought I was only slightly over the legal limit	1	2
I would drive after drinking alcohol regardless of how much I have drunk	0	1
I never drink alcohol at all	10	9
I do not drive	N/A	16
Don't know	N/A	2

Q16 Thinking about your personal financial situation, please indicate the extent you agree or disagree with the following statement: "I feel I am in control of my finances"Base: 1,897 British adults 18+

	%
Strongly agree	41
Tend to agree	36
Neither agree nor disagree	9
Tend to disagree	8
Strongly disagree	3
Don't know	4