London Mayoral Election
Ipsos's poll for the Labour Party shows Labour candidate Ken Livingstone on 48% and Conservative candidate Boris Johnson on 46% among Londoners who are certain to vote and in the upcoming Mayoral elections.
Topline Results
- Ipsos interviewed a quota sample of 808 adults living in London aged 18+ by telephone between 8-12 February 2008.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the adult population.
- Data is weighted by age, gender, social grade, work status, region (inner / outer London), ethnicity, tenure and car ownership.
- Throughout the volume, an asterisk (*) denotes any value of less than half a per cent.
- Topline voting figures are based on those who say they are 'certain to vote' at an upcoming Mayoral election.
- Download the data tabulations pdf, 98KB
Base: all Londoners age 18+ certain to vote and giving a voting intention
London Mayoral Election Voting -- Combined Figures
QA,B,C,D Combined mayoral voting figures Base: All absolutely certain to vote, and gave a first choice vote (360)
| QA,B,C,D | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Ken Livingstone (Labour) ANY VOTE | 48 |
| Boris Johnson (Conservative) ANY VOTE | 46 |
| Votes not transferred (not transferred between the first and second vote, i.e. did not choose Ken Livingstone or Boris Johnson for either their first or second choice) | 7 |
London Mayoral Election Voting -- First Vote
QA In the election for Mayor of London in May, Ken Livingstone is standing for re-election as the Labour Party candidate. Boris Johnson is standing for the Conservatives, and Brian Paddick is standing for the Liberal Democrats, and there will be other candidates too.
In the election for Mayor, voters will have two votes, one for their first choice as Mayor and one for their second choice. If the election were held tomorrow, which candidate would be your first choice?
If undecided or refused at QA
QB Which candidate are you most inclined to support?
Base: All absolutely certain to vote (389)
| QA/B | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Ken Livingstone (Labour) | 42 |
| Boris Johnson (Conservative) | 38 |
| Brian Paddick (Liberal Democrat) | 16 |
| Sian Berry (Green) | 2 |
| Gerard Batten (UK Independence Party) | 1 |
| Richard Barnbrook (British National Party) | 1 |
| Matt O'Connor (English Democrats) | 0 |
| Other | * |
| Lab lead (177%) | +4 |
| Would not vote | 1 |
| Undecided | 4 |
| Refused | 1 |
| Don't know | 1 |
London Mayoral Election Voting -- Second Vote
QC And who would be your second choice for mayoral candidate?
If undecided or refused at QC
QD Which candidate are you most inclined to support?
Base: All absolutely certain to vote and giving a first choice (365)
| QC/D | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Ken Livingstone (Labour) | 13 |
| Boris Johnson (Conservative) | 17 |
| Brian Paddick (Liberal Democrat) | 35 |
| Sian Berry (Green) | 11 |
| Gerard Batten (UK Independence Party) | 3 |
| Richard Barnbrook (British National Party) | 1 |
| Matt O'Connor (English Democrat) | 2 |
| Other | 1 |
| Lab lead (177%) | -4 |
| Would not vote | 7 |
| Undecided | 6 |
| Refused | 0 |
| Don't know | 2 |
Base: all Londoners age 18+ giving a voting intention (rather than just those certain to vote)
London Mayoral Election Voting -- Combined Figures
QA,B,C,D Combined mayoral voting figures Base: Adults 18+ living in London and giving a first choice vote (710)
| QA,B,C,D | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Ken Livingstone (Labour) ANY VOTE | 51 |
| Boris Johnson (Conservative) ANY VOTE | 41 |
| Votes not transferred (not transferred between the first and second vote, i.e. did not choose Ken Livingstone or Boris Johnson for either their first or second choice) | 8 |
London Mayoral Election Voting -- First Vote
QA In the election for Mayor of London in May, Ken Livingstone is standing for re-election as the Labour Party candidate. Boris Johnson is standing for the Conservatives, and Brian Paddick is standing for the Liberal Democrats, and there will be other candidates too.
In the election for Mayor, voters will have two votes, one for their first choice as Mayor and one for their second choice. If the election were held tomorrow, which candidate would be your first choice?
If undecided or refused at QA
QB Which candidate are you most inclined to support?
Base: Adults 18+ living in London (808)
| QA/B | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Ken Livingstone (Labour) | 44 |
| Boris Johnson (Conservative) | 33 |
| Brian Paddick (Liberal Democrat) | 16 |
| Sian Berry (Green) | 4 |
| Gerard Batten (UK Independence Party) | 1 |
| Richard Barnbrook (British National Party) | 1 |
| Matt O'Connor (English Democrat) | * |
| Other | * |
| Lab lead (177%) | +11 |
| Would not vote | 5 |
| Undecided | 5 |
| Refused | 1 |
| Don't know | 2 |
London Mayoral Election Voting -- Second Vote
QC And who would be your second choice for mayoral candidate?
If undecided or refused at QC
QD Which candidate are you most inclined to support?
Base: Adults 18+ living in London and giving a first choice (710)
| QC/D | |
|---|---|
| % | |
| Ken Livingstone (Labour) | 14 |
| Boris Johnson (Conservative) | 19 |
| Brian Paddick (Liberal Democrat) | 30 |
| Sian Berry (Green) | 11 |
| Gerard Batten (UK Independence Party) | 3 |
| Richard Barnbrook (British National Party) | 2 |
| Matt O'Connor (English Democrat) | 3 |
| Other | 1 |
| Lab lead (177%) | -5 |
| Would not vote | 7 |
| Undecided | 8 |
| Refused | * |
| Don't know | 2 |
Q The election for the Mayor of London will be held on 1st May this year. How likely are you to vote in this election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote?
Base: Adults 18+ living in London (808)
| % | |
|---|---|
| 10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 48 |
| 9 | 6 |
| 8 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 |
| 6 | 4 |
| 5 | 10 |
| 4 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 |
| 1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 8 |
| Don't know | 1 |
| Refused | * |
Q Thinking specifically about Boris Johnson, the Conservative candidate and Ken Livingstone, the Labour candidate, if you were forced to choose between them, which would you prefer to be Mayor of London?
Base: Adults 18+ living in London (808) (all certain to vote = 389)
| All | All certain to vote | |
|---|---|---|
| % | % | |
| Boris Johnson | 43 | 47 |
| Ken Livingstone | 50 | 49 |
| Neither | 3 | 1 |
| Don't know | 4 | 3 |
