MORI Political Monitor May
Topline Results
- MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,999 adults aged 18+ at 199 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 19-23 May 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,274)
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 30 |
| Labour | 37 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 26 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 1 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 2 |
| Lab lead (177%) | +7 |
| Would not vote | * |
| Undecided | 3 |
| Refused | 3 |
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,999)
| % | |
|---|---|
| Conservative | 27 |
| Labour | 40 |
| Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 26 |
| Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
| Green Party | 2 |
| UK Independence Party | 1 |
| Other | 1 |
| Lab lead (177%) | 13 |
| Would not vote | 12 |
| Undecided | 5 |
| Refused | 3 |
Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
| Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| % | % | % | 177% | |
| Government (Q3) | 38 | 52 | 11 | -14 |
| Blair (Q4) | 39 | 55 | 7 | -16 |
| Howard (Q5) | 28 | 48 | 24 | -20 |
| Kennedy (Q6) | 49 | 28 | 24 | +21 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
| Q7 | Q7/8 | |
|---|---|---|
| % | % | |
| Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 18 | 40 |
| National Health Service/Hospitals | 12 | 36 |
| Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 14 | 27 |
| Education/schools | 6 | 26 |
| Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 6 | 14 |
| Pensions/social security | 4 | 14 |
| Economy/economic situation | 5 | 11 |
| Morality/individual behaviour | 4 | 10 |
| Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution | 4 | 9 |
| Taxation | 3 | 8 |
| Housing | 2 | 8 |
| Drug abuse | 2 | 7 |
| Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 2 | 7 |
| Pollution/environment | 2 | 6 |
| Poverty/inequality | 2 | 5 |
| Transport/public transport | 1 | 4 |
| Public services in general | 1 | 3 |
| Local government/council tax | * | 3 |
| Petrol prices/fuel | 1 | 2 |
| Inflation/prices | * | 2 |
| Countryside/rural life | * | 1 |
| Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 1 |
| Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | * | 1 |
| AIDS | * | * |
| Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease | * | * |
| Northern Ireland | * | * |
| Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | * | * |
| Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | * | * |
| Trade unions/strikes | * | * |
| Animal welfare | 0 | * |
| Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | 0 | * |
| GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | 0 | * |
| Privatisation | 0 | * |
| Tsunami/ South East Asia | 0 | * |
| Other | 6 | 15 |
| Don't know | 5 | 4 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| Improve | 16 |
| Stay the same | 43 |
| Get worse | 36 |
| Don't know | 5 |
| MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -20 |
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,999 British adults 18+
| % | |
|---|---|
| 10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 62 |
| 9 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 |
| 1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 9 |
| Don't know | 2 |
| Refused | 0 |
Q11 Looking back to the last General Election, which, if any, of these issues were very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for? Base: All who say they voted in the General Election (796)
| % | |
|---|---|
| Health care | 50 |
| Law and order | 45 |
| Education | 43 |
| Pensions | 30 |
| Asylum | 28 |
| Managing the economy | 28 |
| Taxation | 27 |
| Iraq | 24 |
| Protecting the natural environment | 19 |
| Unemployment | 16 |
| Housing | 15 |
| Europe | 14 |
| Public transport | 12 |
| Defence | 12 |
| Constitution/Devolution | 6 |
| Animal welfare | 5 |
| Other | 7 |
| Don't know | 4 |
Q 12-27 I am going to read out a list of issues facing Britain today and for each one, I would like you to tell me whether you think that the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats or some other party had the best policy on each at the General Election? Base: all who say they voted at the general election and who say each issue is very important
| Base | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | None of these | Don't know | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | % | % | % | % | % | % | |
| Animal welfare | (39) | 20 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
| Asylum | (228) | 56 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
| Constitution / Devolution | (48) | 44 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| Defence | (90) | 36 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
| Education | (336) | 21 | 39 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
| Europe | (113) | 30 | 29 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
| Healthcare | (404) | 25 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
| Housing | (120) | 18 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
| Iraq | (194) | 13 | 11 | 52 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
| Law and order | (365) | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
| Managing the economy | (218) | 26 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
| Pensions | (249) | 28 | 24 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 22 |
| Protecting the natural environment | (159) | 9 | 14 | 27 | 27 | 10 | 14 |
| Public transport | (91) | 12 | 24 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
| Taxation | (200) | 46 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Unemployment | (126) | 9 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 27 |
