MORI Political Monitor May
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
Topline Results
- MORI interviewed a representative quota sample of 1,999 adults aged 18+ at 199 sampling points across Great Britain.
- Fieldwork was conducted face-to-face on 19-23 May 2005.
- Data are weighted to match the profile of the population
Voting -- all absolutely certain to vote
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow?
(If undecided or refused at Q1)
Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support?
Base: All 'absolutely certain to vote' (1,274)
% | |
---|---|
Conservative | 30 |
Labour | 37 |
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 26 |
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
Green Party | 1 |
UK Independence Party | 1 |
Other | 2 |
Lab lead (177%) | +7 |
Would not vote | * |
Undecided | 3 |
Refused | 3 |
Voting -- all
Q1 How would you vote if there were a General Election tomorrow? IF UNDECIDED OR REFUSED AT Q1 Q2 Which party are you most inclined to support? Base: All naming a party (1,999)
% | |
---|---|
Conservative | 27 |
Labour | 40 |
Liberal Democrats (Lib Dem) | 26 |
Scottish/Welsh Nationalist | 2 |
Green Party | 2 |
UK Independence Party | 1 |
Other | 1 |
Lab lead (177%) | 13 |
Would not vote | 12 |
Undecided | 5 |
Refused | 3 |
Q3-6 Are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way the Government / Mr Blair / Mr Howard / Mr Kennedy are doing their job? Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Don't know | Index | |
---|---|---|---|---|
% | % | % | 177% | |
Government (Q3) | 38 | 52 | 11 | -14 |
Blair (Q4) | 39 | 55 | 7 | -16 |
Howard (Q5) | 28 | 48 | 24 | -20 |
Kennedy (Q6) | 49 | 28 | 24 | +21 |
Q7 What would you say is the most important issue facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Q8 What do you see as other important issues facing Britain today? (Spontaneous) Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
Q7 | Q7/8 | |
---|---|---|
% | % | |
Crime/law & order/violence/vandalism | 18 | 40 |
National Health Service/Hospitals | 12 | 36 |
Race relations/immigration/immigrants | 14 | 27 |
Education/schools | 6 | 26 |
Defence/foreign affairs/international terrorism | 6 | 14 |
Pensions/social security | 4 | 14 |
Economy/economic situation | 5 | 11 |
Morality/individual behaviour | 4 | 10 |
Common Market/EU/Europe/EURO/Constitution | 4 | 9 |
Taxation | 3 | 8 |
Housing | 2 | 8 |
Drug abuse | 2 | 7 |
Unemployment/factory closure/lack of industry | 2 | 7 |
Pollution/environment | 2 | 6 |
Poverty/inequality | 2 | 5 |
Transport/public transport | 1 | 4 |
Public services in general | 1 | 3 |
Local government/council tax | * | 3 |
Petrol prices/fuel | 1 | 2 |
Inflation/prices | * | 2 |
Countryside/rural life | * | 1 |
Low pay/minimum wage/fair wages | * | 1 |
Nuclear weapons/nuclear war/disarmament | * | 1 |
AIDS | * | * |
Beef/BSE/Mad Cow Disease | * | * |
Northern Ireland | * | * |
Pound/exchange rate/value of pound | * | * |
Scottish/Welsh Assembly/Devolution Constitutional reform | * | * |
Trade unions/strikes | * | * |
Animal welfare | 0 | * |
Foot and mouth outbreak/farming crisis | 0 | * |
GM/GM (Genetically Modified) foods | 0 | * |
Privatisation | 0 | * |
Tsunami/ South East Asia | 0 | * |
Other | 6 | 15 |
Don't know | 5 | 4 |
Q9 Do you think that the general economic condition of the country will improve, stay the same, or get worse over the next 12 months? Base: 1,036 British adults 18+
% | |
---|---|
Improve | 16 |
Stay the same | 43 |
Get worse | 36 |
Don't know | 5 |
MORI Economic Optimism Index [EOI] | -20 |
Q10 And how likely would you be to vote in an immediate General Election, on a scale of 1 to 10, where 10 means you would be absolutely certain to vote, and 1 means that you would be absolutely certain not to vote? Base: 1,999 British adults 18+
% | |
---|---|
10 -- absolutely certain to vote | 62 |
9 | 6 |
8 | 6 |
7 | 3 |
6 | 2 |
5 | 6 |
4 | 1 |
3 | 2 |
2 | 1 |
1 -- absolutely certain not to vote | 9 |
Don't know | 2 |
Refused | 0 |
Q11 Looking back to the last General Election, which, if any, of these issues were very important to you in helping you decide which party to vote for? Base: All who say they voted in the General Election (796)
% | |
---|---|
Health care | 50 |
Law and order | 45 |
Education | 43 |
Pensions | 30 |
Asylum | 28 |
Managing the economy | 28 |
Taxation | 27 |
Iraq | 24 |
Protecting the natural environment | 19 |
Unemployment | 16 |
Housing | 15 |
Europe | 14 |
Public transport | 12 |
Defence | 12 |
Constitution/Devolution | 6 |
Animal welfare | 5 |
Other | 7 |
Don't know | 4 |
Q 12-27 I am going to read out a list of issues facing Britain today and for each one, I would like you to tell me whether you think that the Conservatives, Labour, Liberal Democrats or some other party had the best policy on each at the General Election? Base: all who say they voted at the general election and who say each issue is very important
Base | Con | Lab | Lib Dem | Other | None of these | Don't know | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | % | % | % | % | % | % | |
Animal welfare | (39) | 20 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
Asylum | (228) | 56 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 11 |
Constitution / Devolution | (48) | 44 | 4 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
Defence | (90) | 36 | 26 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 14 |
Education | (336) | 21 | 39 | 21 | 1 | 4 | 15 |
Europe | (113) | 30 | 29 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 13 |
Healthcare | (404) | 25 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 12 |
Housing | (120) | 18 | 39 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 23 |
Iraq | (194) | 13 | 11 | 52 | 4 | 11 | 9 |
Law and order | (365) | 40 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 12 |
Managing the economy | (218) | 26 | 55 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 9 |
Pensions | (249) | 28 | 24 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 22 |
Protecting the natural environment | (159) | 9 | 14 | 27 | 27 | 10 | 14 |
Public transport | (91) | 12 | 24 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 22 |
Taxation | (200) | 46 | 24 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
Unemployment | (126) | 9 | 50 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 27 |
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